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Literature is full of inference techniques developed to estimate the parameters of stochastic dynamical systems driven by the well-known Brownian noise. Such diffusion models are often inappropriate models to properly describe the dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Babak M. S. Arani

In the setting of stochastic Volterra equations, and in particular rough volatility models, we show that conditional expectations are the unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs. The latter arise from the functional It\^o formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Alexandre Pannier

Discretizations of Langevin diffusions provide a powerful method for sampling and Bayesian inference. However, such discretizations require evaluation of the gradient of the potential function. In several real-world scenarios, obtaining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Abhishek Roy , Lingqing Shen , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Saeed Ghadimi

In this paper we study the problem of statistical inference for a continuous-time moving average L\'evy process of the form $$Z_{t} = \int_{\mathbb{R}}\mathcal{K}(t-s)\, dL_{s},\quad t\in\mathbb{R}$$ with a deterministic kernel (\K\) and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-19 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov , Jeannette Woerner

Estimation methods for the L\'{e}vy density of a L\'{e}vy process are developed under mild qualitative assumptions. A classical model selection approach made up of two steps is studied. The first step consists in the selection of a good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 José E. Figueroa-López , Christian Houdré

In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

Observing prices of European put and call options, we calibrate exponential L\'evy models nonparametrically. We discuss the efficient implementation of the spectral estimation procedures for L\'evy models of finite jump activity as well as…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez , K. Lee

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic differential equations driven by small fractional noise. Under some conditions, we obtain strong consistency and rate of convergence of the least square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 S. Nakajima , S. Nakamura , Y. Shimizu

This paper provide a comprehensive analysis of the finite and long time behavior of continuous-time non-Markovian dynamical systems, with a focus on the forward Stochastic Volterra Integral Equations(SVIEs).We investigate the properties of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès

We develop a new model selection method for the adaptive robust efficient nonparametric signal estimation observed with impulse noise which is defined by the general non Gaussian L\'evy processes. On the basis of the developed method, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Slim Beltaief , Oleg Chernoyarov , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Rama Cont , Purba Das

The characteristic feature of semi-selfsimilar process is the invariance of its finite dimensional distributions by certain dilation for specific scaling factor. Estimating the scale parameter $\lambda$ and the Hurst index of such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Saeid Rezakhah , Anne Philippe , Navideh Modarresi

L\'evy processes, known for their ability to model complex dynamics with skewness, heavy tails and discontinuities, play a critical role in stochastic modeling across various domains. However, inference for most L\'evy processes, whether in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Bill Z. Lin , Simon Godsill

The semivarying coefficient models are widely used in the application of finance, economics, medical science and many other areas. The functional coefficients are commonly estimated by local smoothing methods, e.g. local linear estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Heng Peng , Chuanlong Xie , Jingxin Zhao

This papers develops a stochastic integration theory with respect to volatility modulated L\'{e}vy-driven Volterra (VMLV) processes. It extends recent results in the literature to allow for stochastic volatility and pure jump processes in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Fred Espen Benth , Jan Pedersen , Almut E. D. Veraart

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

We analyse a Monte Carlo particle method for the simulation of the calibrated Heston-type local stochastic volatility (H-LSV) model. The common application of a kernel estimator for a conditional expectation in the calibration condition…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-22 Christoph Reisinger , Maria Olympia Tsianni

We apply the techniques of stochastic integration with respect to fractional Brownian motion and the theory of regularity and supremum estimation for stochastic processes to study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ciprian A. Tudor , Frederi G. Viens

Our goal is to estimate the characteristic exponent of the input to a L\'evy-driven storage system from a sample of equispaced workload observations. The estimator relies on an approximate moment equation associated with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Dennis Nieman , Michel Mandjes , Liron Ravner
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