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Uncertainties are abundant in complex systems. Mathematical models for these systems thus contain random effects or noises. The models are often in the form of stochastic differential equations, with some parameters to be determined by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jiarui Yang , Jinqiao Duan

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

Weak approximations have been developed to calculate the expectation value of functionals of stochastic differential equations, and various numerical discretization schemes (Euler, Milshtein) have been studied by many authors. We present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-10 Hideyuki Tanaka , Arturo Kohatsu-Higa

We propose the use of indirect inference estimation to conduct inference in complex locally stationary models. We develop a local indirect inference algorithm and establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Due to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-17 David Frazier , Bonsoo Koo

The main purpose of this chapter is to present some theoretical aspects of parametric estimation of L\'evy processes based on high-frequency sampling, with a focus on infinite activity pure-jump models. Asymptotics for several classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-02 Hiroki Masuda

We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Anine E. Bolko , Kim Christensen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Bezirgen Veliyev

We study the non-parametric estimation of an unknown stationary density fV of an unobserved strictly stationary volatility process $(\bm V_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on $\IRp^2 := (0,\infty)^2$ based on discrete-time observations in a stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Sergio Brenner Miguel

We establish asymptotic properties of $M$-estimators, defined in terms of a contrast function and observations from a continuous-time locally stationary process. Using the stationary approximation of the sequence, $\theta$-weak dependence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Bennet Ströh

Kernel Estimation is one of the most widely used estimation methods in non-parametric Statistics, having a wide-range of applications, including spot volatility estimation of stochastic processes. The selection of bandwidth and kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-15 José E. Figueroa-López , Cheng Li

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Volterra processes appear in several applications ranging from turbulence to energy finance where they are used in the modelling of e.g. temperatures and wind and the related financial derivatives. Volterra processes are in general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Giulia di Nunno , Andrea Fiacco , Erik Hove Karlsen

This paper aims at semi-parametrically estimating the input process to a L\'evy-driven queue by sampling the workload process at Poisson times. We construct a method-of-moments based estimator for the L\'evy process' characteristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Liron Ravner , Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

This paper provides rate-efficient estimators of the volatility parameter in the presence of L\'{e}vy jumps

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

Fractional Brownian motion can be represented as an integral of a deterministic kernel w.r.t. an ordinary Brownian motion either on infinite or compact interval. In previous literature fractional L\'evy processes are defined by integrating…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Heikki Tikanmäki , Yuliya Mishura

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Scaling properties of time series are usually studied in terms of the scaling laws of empirical moments, which are the time average estimates of moments of the dynamic variable. Nonlinearities in the scaling function of empirical moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

The aim of this paper is to present a result of discrete approximation of some class of stable self-similar stationary increments processes. The properties of such processes were intensively investigated, but little is known on the context…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-18 Clément Dombry , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

Using complex analysis techniques we obtain precise asymptotic approximations for the kernels corresponding to the symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes and their fractional derivatives. We apply our method to general L\'evy processes whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-06 Sihun Jo , Minsuk Yang