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We consider the problem of estimating a parameter associated to a Bayesian inverse problem. Treating the unknown initial condition as a nuisance parameter, typically one must resort to a numerical approximation of gradient of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Deng Lu

Inverse probability weighted estimators are the oldest and potentially most commonly used class of procedures for the estimation of causal effects. By adjusting for selection biases via a weighting mechanism, these procedures estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan

To accomplish correct Bayesian inference from weak lensing shear data requires a complete statistical description of the data. The natural framework to do this is a Bayesian Hierarchical Model, which divides the chain of reasoning into…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-18 Alan Heavens , Justin Alsing , Andrew Jaffe , Till Hoffmann , Alina Kiessling , Benjamin Wandelt

We develop a new approach for estimating the risk of an arbitrary estimator of the mean vector in the classical normal means problem. The key idea is to generate two auxiliary data vectors, by adding carefully constructed normal noise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Estimation of linear functionals from observed data is an important task in many subjects. Juditsky & Nemirovski [The Annals of Statistics 37.5A (2009): 2278-2300] propose a framework for non-parametric estimation of linear functionals in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Akshay Seshadri , Stephen Becker

Constructing unbiased estimators from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) outputs is a difficult problem that has recently received a lot of attention in the statistics and machine learning communities. However, the current unbiased MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-27 Guanyang Wang , Tianze Wang

This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

A stochastic iterative algorithm approximating second-order information using von Neumann series is discussed. We present convergence guarantees for strongly-convex and smooth functions. Our analysis is much simpler in contrast to a similar…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Mojmir Mutny

We study the problem of likelihood maximization when the likelihood function is intractable but model simulations are readily available. We propose a sequential, gradient-based optimization method that directly models the Fisher score based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Sherman Khoo , Yakun Wang , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

We consider the additive version of the matrix denoising problem, where a random symmetric matrix $S$ of size $n$ has to be inferred from the observation of $Y=S+Z$, with $Z$ an independent random matrix modeling a noise. For prior…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-10-25 Guilhem Semerjian

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

The aim of this paper is to present a new estimation procedure that can be applied in many statistical frameworks including density and regression and which leads to both robust and optimal (or nearly optimal) estimators. In density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé , Mathieu Sart

In distributed second order optimization, a standard strategy is to average many local estimates, each of which is based on a small sketch or batch of the data. However, the local estimates on each machine are typically biased, relative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Michał Dereziński , Burak Bartan , Mert Pilanci , Michael W. Mahoney

We consider the problem of estimating a low-dimensional parameter in high-dimensional linear regression. Constructing an approximately unbiased estimate of the parameter of interest is a crucial step towards performing statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Michael Celentano , Andrea Montanari

Corrector estimates constitute a key ingredient in the derivation of optimal convergence rates via two-scale expansion techniques in homogenization theory of random uniformly elliptic equations. The present work follows up - in terms of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Sebastian Hensel

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

Large area lensing surveys are expected to make it possible to use cosmic shear tomography as a tool to severely constrain cosmological parameters. To this end, one typically relies on second order statistics such as the two - point…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-30 M. Vicinanza , V. F. Cardone , R. Maoli , R. Scaramella , X. Er

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

Unbiased and consistent variance estimators generally do not exist for design-based treatment effect estimators because experimenters never observe more than one potential outcome for any unit. The problem is exacerbated by interference and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Christopher Harshaw , Joel A. Middleton , Fredrik Sävje
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