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Any performance analysis based on stochastic simulation is subject to the errors inherent in misspecifying the modeling assumptions, particularly the input distributions. In situations with little support from data, we investigate the use…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Soumyadip Ghosh , Henry Lam

Chains of resonators in the form of spring-mass systems have long been known to exhibiting interesting properties such as band gaps. Such features can be leveraged to manipulate the propagation of waves such as the filtering of specific…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Seyed Saeed Ahmadisoleymani , Samy Missoum

Studies on simulation input uncertainty often built on the availability of input data. In this paper, we investigate an inverse problem where, given only the availability of output data, we nonparametrically calibrate the input models and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Aleksandrina Goeva , Henry Lam , Huajie Qian , Bo Zhang

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

We address the design and synthesis of optimal control strategies for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems. Such systems may be deterministic nonlinear systems evolving from random initial states, or systems driven by random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Panos Lambrianides , Qi Gong , Daniele Venturi

In a recent paper, Nguyen, Kuhn, and Esfahani (2018) built a distributionally robust estimator for the precision matrix of the Gaussian distribution. The distributional uncertainty size is a key ingredient in the construction of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Jose Blanchet , Nian Si

Skewness is often present in a wide range of spatial prediction problems, and modeling it in the spatial context remains a challenging problem. In this study a skew-Gaussian random field is considered. The skew-Gaussian random field is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-06 Kjartan Rimstad , Henning Omre

We discuss recently developed methods that quantify the stability and generalizability of statistical findings under distributional changes. In many practical problems, the data is not drawn i.i.d. from the target population. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann

We focus on the problem of uncertainty informed allocation of medical resources (vaccines) to heterogeneous populations for managing epidemic spread. We tackle two related questions: (1) For a compartmental ordinary differential equation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Samarth Gupta , Saurabh Amin

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

This paper presents a novel machine-learning framework for reconstructing low-order gust-encounter flow field and lift coefficients from sparse, noisy surface pressure measurements. Our study thoroughly investigates the time-varying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Hanieh Mousavi , Jeff D. Eldredge

We present the design and development of a data stream system that captures data uncertainty from data collection to query processing to final result generation. Our system focuses on data that is naturally modeled as continuous random…

Databases · Computer Science 2009-09-15 Yanlei Diao , Boduo Li , Anna Liu , Liping Peng , Charles Sutton , Thanh Tran , Michael Zink

We consider a distributed stochastic optimization problem in networks with finite number of nodes. Each node adjusts its action to optimize the global utility of the network, which is defined as the sum of local utilities of all nodes.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Wenjie Li , Mohamad Assaad

The gaussian spread regression model for the calibration of site specific ensemble temperature forecasts depends on the apparently restrictive assumption that the uncertainty around temperature forecasts is normally distributed. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson

Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yezhuo Li , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Gang Li

Model predictive control is an advanced control approach for multivariable systems with constraints, which is reliant on an accurate dynamic model. Most real dynamic models are however affected by uncertainties, which can lead to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-10 E. Bradford , L. Imsland

The uncertainties in material and other properties of structures are usually spatially correlated. We introduce an efficient technique for representing and processing spatially correlated random fields in robust topology optimisation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Ismael Ben-Yelun , Ahmet Oguzhan Yuksel , Fehmi Cirak

The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

Although high-performance computing (HPC) systems have been scaled to meet the exponentially-growing demand for scientific computing, HPC performance variability remains a major challenge and has become a critical research topic in computer…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-23 Li Xu , Yili Hong , Max D. Morris , Kirk W. Cameron

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen
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