English
Related papers

Related papers: Convergence of Probability Measures and Markov Dec…

200 papers

We establish a profound connection between coherent risk measures, a prominent object in quantitative finance, and uniform integrability, a fundamental concept in probability theory. Instead of working with absolute values of random…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Muqiao Huang , Ruodu Wang

This note establishes that if a sequence $P_n, n=1,\ldots$ of probability measures converges in total variation to the limiting probability measure $P$, and $\sigma$-algebras $\mathbb{A}$ and $\mathbb{B}$ are conditionally independent given…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-15 Steffen Lauritzen

Concentration of measure is a phenomenon in which a random variable that depends in a smooth way on a large number of independent random variables is essentially constant. The random variable will "concentrate" around its median or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Meg Walters

Predictive equivalence in discrete stochastic processes have been applied with great success to identify randomness and structure in statistical physics and chaotic dynamical systems and to inferring hidden Markov models. We examine the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-21 Samuel P. Loomis , James P. Crutchfield

The notion of a successful coupling of Markov processes, based on the idea that both components of the coupled system ``intersect'' in finite time with probability one, is extended to cover situations when the coupling is unnecessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael Blank , Sergey Pirogov

In this paper, we characterize compatibility of distributions and probability measures on a measurable space. For a set of indices $\mathcal J$, we say that the tuples of probability measures $(Q_i)_{i\in \mathcal J} $ and distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Jie Shen , Yi Shen , Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang

We consider a setting where an agent's uncertainty is represented by a set of probability measures, rather than a single measure. Measure-by-measure updating of such a set of measures upon acquiring new information is well-known to suffer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Joseph Y. Halpern , Samantha Leung

We study the outcomes in a general measurement with postselection, and derive upper bounds for the pointer readings in weak measurement. Using the idea of weak measurement, we study Hardy's gedanken experiment and show how the "negative…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Xuanmin Zhu , Qun Wei , Quanhui Liu , Shengjun Wu

This paper explores Maximum Likelihood in parametric models in the context of Sanov type Large Deviation Probabilities. MLE in parametric models under weighted sampling is shown to be associated with the minimization of a specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-30 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

Using probabilistic ideas, we prove that the packing dimension of a mean porous measure is strictly smaller than the dimension of the ambient space. Moreover, we give an explicit bound for the packing dimension, which is asymptotically…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Pablo Shmerkin

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

In terms of a nice reference probability measure, integrability conditions on the path-dependent drift are presented for (infinite-dimensional) degenerate PDEs to have regular positive solutions. To this end, the corresponding stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Feng-Yu Wang

In Basili and Pratelli (2024), a novel and coherent concept of interval probability measures has been introduced, providing a method for representing imprecise probabilities and uncertainty. Within the framework of set algebra, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Marcello Basili , Luca Pratelli

This paper presents a general convergence theory of penalty based numerical methods for elliptic constrained inequality problems, including variational inequalities, hemivariational inequalities, and variational-hemivariational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Weimin Han , Mircea Sofonea

Many quantities that characterize network elements are defined in an explicit form and calculated directly from the network structure; examples of include several centrality measures like degree, closeness, or betweenness. However, there…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-08 János Török , Takashi Shimada , Fumiko Ogushi , Kata Tunyogi , János Kertész , Kimmo Kaski

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

The main contribution of this paper is a strong converse result for $K$-hop distributed hypothesis testing against independence with multiple (intermediate) decision centers under a Markov condition. Our result shows that the set of type-II…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Mustapha Hamad , Michèle Wigger , Mireille Sarkiss

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

For each $n \geq 1$, let $\{X_{j,n}\}_{1 \leq j \leq n}$ be a sequence of strictly stationary random variables. In this article, we give some asymptotic weak dependence conditions for the convergence in distribution of the point process…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-28 Raluca Balan , Sana Louhichi

Quantifying differences between probability distributions is fundamental to statistics and machine learning, primarily for comparing statistical uncertainty. In contrast, epistemic uncertainty -- due to incomplete knowledge -- requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Siu Lun Chau , Michele Caprio , Krikamol Muandet