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Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff

While spatially varying coefficient (SVC) modeling is popular in applied science, its computational burden is substantial. This is especially true if a multiscale property of SVC is considered. Given this background, this study develops a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-26 Daisuke Murakami , Daniel A. Griffith

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

We introduce a Bayesian framework for indirect local clustering of functional data, leveraging B-spline basis expansions and a novel dependent random partition model. By exploiting the local support properties of B-splines, our approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Giovanni Toto , Antonio Canale

A bivariate copula mixed model has been recently proposed to synthesize diagnostic test accuracy studies and it has been shown that is superior to the standard generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) in this context. Here we call trivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-09 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Multivariate spatial modeling is key to understanding the behavior of materials downstream in a mining operation. The ore recovery depends on the mineralogical composition, which needs to be properly captured by the model to allow for good…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-03 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

We propose a new inference framework called localized conformal prediction. It generalizes the framework of conformal prediction by offering a single-test-sample adaptive construction that emphasizes a local region around this test sample,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Leying Guan

Compositional data find broad application across diverse fields due to their efficacy in representing proportions or percentages of various components within a whole. Spatial dependencies often exist in compositional data, particularly when…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-21 Teo Nguyen , Sarat Moka , Kerrie Mengersen , Benoit Liquet

The huge amount of available data nowadays is a challenge for kernel-based machine learning algorithms like SVMs with respect to runtime and storage capacities. Local approaches might help to relieve these issues and to improve statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-05 Florian Dumpert

Understanding the dependence relationship of credit spreads of corporate bonds is important for risk management. Vine copula models with tail dependence are used to analyze a credit spread dataset of Chinese corporate bonds, understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe , Guofu Li

The concept of independence plays a crucial role in probability theory and has been the subject of extensive research in recent years. Numerous approaches have been proposed to test for independence; however, most of them address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Bogdan Ćmiel , Bartłomiej Gibas

Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang

Copulas have now become ubiquitous statistical tools for describing, analysing and modelling dependence between random variables. Sklar's theorem, "the fundamental theorem of copulas", makes a clear distinction between the continuous case…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Gery Geenens

Inference for high-dimensional hidden Markov models is challenging due to the exponential-in-dimension computational cost of calculating the likelihood. To address this issue, we introduce an innovative composite likelihood approach called…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-17 Lorenzo Rimella , Chris Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

The key to VI is the selection of a tractable density to approximate the Bayesian posterior. For large and complex models a common choice is to assume independence between multivariate blocks in a partition of the parameter space. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Yu Fu , Michael Stanley Smith , Anastasios Panagiotelis

Many scientific applications involve mixed spatially indexed outcomes of heterogeneous types that are driven by shared latent mechanisms. Modeling such data is challenging due to complex, nonlinear, and potentially nonstationary spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yeseul Jeon , Kyeong Eun Lee , Joon Jin Song

We propose and demonstrate a joint model of anatomical shapes, image features and clinical indicators for statistical shape modeling and medical image analysis. The key idea is to employ a copula model to separate the joint dependency…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-10 Bernhard Egger , Markus D. Schirmer , Florian Dubost , Marco J. Nardin , Natalia S. Rost , Polina Golland

Geographical data are generally autocorrelated. In this case, it is preferable to select spread units. In this paper, we propose a new method for selecting well-spread samples from a finite spatial population with equal or unequal inclusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Raphaël Jauslin , Yves Tillé

Environmental phenomena are influenced by complex interactions among various factors. For instance, the amount of rainfall measured at different stations within a given area is shaped by atmospheric conditions, orography, and physics of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-16 Paolo Onorati , Antonio Canale