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Related papers: Asymptotic lower bounds in estimating jumps

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In this paper, we consider an ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson process, whose drift and diffusion coefficients as well as its jump intensity depend on unknown parameters.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Ngoc Khue Tran

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

We lower bound the complexity of finding $\epsilon$-stationary points (with gradient norm at most $\epsilon$) using stochastic first-order methods. In a well-studied model where algorithms access smooth, potentially non-convex functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Yossi Arjevani , Yair Carmon , John C. Duchi , Dylan J. Foster , Nathan Srebro , Blake Woodworth

We consider a linear model where the coefficients - intercept and slopes - are random with a law in a nonparametric class and independent from the regressors. Identification often requires the regressors to have a support which is the whole…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Christophe Gaillac , Eric Gautier

In this paper we will study the approximation of arbitrary law invariant risk measures. As a starting point, we approximate the average value at risk using stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics, which can be seen as a variant of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-13 Jiarui Chu , Ludovic Tangpi

We study nonparametric change-point estimation from indirect noisy observations. Focusing on the white noise convolution model, we consider two classes of functions that are smooth apart from the change-point. We establish lower bounds on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. Goldenshluger , A. Tsybakov , A. Zeevi

In this paper, we are interested in the exact simulation of a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP). We show how to perform efficient thinning algorithms depending on the jump rate bound. For different types of jump rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a diagonaliazable stochastic evolution equation using a finite number of the Fourier coefficients of the solution. The equation is driven by additive noise that is white in space and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-03 Igor Cialenco , Sergey Lototsky , Jan Pospisil

The telegraph process $\{X(t), t>0\}$, is supposed to be observed at $n+1$ equidistant time points $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,..., n$. The unknown value of $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the Poisson process, is a parameter to be estimated. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 stefano m. iacus , nakahiro yoshida

In this paper, we, for the first time, establish two comparison theorems for multi-dimensional backward stochastic differential equations with jumps. Our approach is novel and completely different from the existing results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Ying Hu , Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

Linear ARCH (LARCH) processes were introduced by Robinson [J. Econometrics 47 (1991) 67--84] to model long-range dependence in volatility and leverage. Basic theoretical properties of LARCH processes have been investigated in the recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Jan Beran , Martin Schützner

We derive first-order (in the stepsize) bounds on the bias in Wasserstein distances of the invariant measure of stochastic gradient kinetic Langevin dynamics with minimal assumptions on the stochastic gradient noise. These bounds sharpen…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-28 Daniel Paulin , Peter A. Whalley

In this paper, Bayesian quickest change detection problems with sampling right constraints are considered. Specifically, there is a sequence of random variables whose probability density function will change at an unknown time. The goal is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-16 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

We revisit the sample average approximation (SAA) approach for non-convex stochastic programming. We show that applying the SAA approach to problems with expected value equality constraints does not necessarily result in asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

A systematic approach to finding variational approximation in an otherwise intractable non-conjugate model is to exploit the general principle of convex duality by minorizing the marginal likelihood that renders the problem tractable. While…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Indrajit Ghosh , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

We deal with a planar random flight $\{(X(t),Y(t)),0<t\leq T\}$ observed at $n+1$ equidistant times $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,...,n$. The aim of this paper is to estimate the unknown value of the parameter $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Alessandro De Gregorio

We investigate the geometric properties of the convex hull over $n$ successive positions of a planar random walk, with a symmetric continuous jump distribution. We derive the large $n$ asymptotic behavior of the mean perimeter. In addition,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-03 Denis S. Grebenkov , Yann Lanoiselée , Satya N. Majumdar

We present a novel statistical inference framework for convex empirical risk minimization, using approximate stochastic Newton steps. The proposed algorithm is based on the notion of finite differences and allows the approximation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Tianyang Li , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Liu Liu , Constantine Caramanis

Given an $n$-sample drawn on a submanifold $M \subset \mathbb{R}^D$, we derive optimal rates for the estimation of tangent spaces $T\_X M$, the second fundamental form $II\_X^M$, and the submanifold $M$.After motivating their study, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Eddie Aamari , Clément Levrard