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Statistical and structural modeling represent two distinct approaches to data analysis. In this paper, we propose a set of novel methods for combining statistical and structural models for improved prediction and causal inference. Our first…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-11 Jiaming Mao , Jingzhi Xu

For the analysis of clustered survival data, two different types of models that take the association into account, are commonly used: frailty models and copula models. Frailty models assume that conditional on a frailty term for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-10 Leen Prenen , Roel Braekers , Luc Duchateau

In recent literature, when modeling for information freshness in remote estimation settings, estimators have been mainly restricted to the class of martingale estimators, meaning the remote estimate at any time is equal to the most recently…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Sahan Liyanaarachchi , Sennur Ulukus , Nail Akar

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

A central problem in machine learning and statistics is to model joint densities of random variables from data. Copulas are joint cumulative distribution functions with uniform marginal distributions and are used to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Chun Kai Ling , Fei Fang , J. Zico Kolter

Estimation of mutual information between random variables has become crucial in a range of fields, from physics to neuroscience to finance. Estimating information accurately over a wide range of conditions relies on the development of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-14 Houman Safaai , Arno Onken , Christopher D. Harvey , Stefano Panzeri

We propose a class of dynamic vine copula models. This is an extension of static vine copulas and a generalization of dynamic C-vine and D-vine copulas studied by Almeida et al (2016) and Goel and Mehra (2019). Within this class, we allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

Vine copulas (or pair-copula constructions) have become an important tool for high-dimensional dependence modeling. Typically, so called simplified vine copula models are estimated where bivariate conditional copulas are approximated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Christian Schellhase , Fabian Spanhel

A large number of explicit estimators are proposed in this paper for loss rate estimation in a network of the tree topology. All of the estimators are proved to be unbiased and consistent instead of asymptotic unbiased as that obtained in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-08-06 Weiping Zhu

In this paper we propose a flexible class of multivariate nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, based on copulas. More precisely, we assume that the observation equation and the state equation are defined by copula families that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-04 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado

Ensembles of decision trees perform well on many problems, but are not interpretable. In contrast to existing approaches in interpretability that focus on explaining relationships between features and predictions, we propose an alternative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-26 Sarah Tan , Matvey Soloviev , Giles Hooker , Martin T. Wells

The increasing use of vine copulas in high-dimensional settings, where the number of parameters is often of the same order as the sample size, calls for asymptotic theory beyond the traditional fixed-$p$, large-$n$ framework. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

A new class of copulas based on order statistics was introduced by Baker (2008). Here, further properties of the bivariate and multivariate copulas are described, such as that of likelihood ratio dominance (LRD), and further bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-03 Rose Baker

Testing the equality in distributions of multiple samples is a common task in many fields. However, this problem for high-dimensional or non-Euclidean data has not been well explored. In this paper, we propose new nonparametric tests based…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-30 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

Archimedean copulas are a popular type of copulas in which a variant of the Archimedean axiom apply. We provide a topological proof of the Archimedean Axiom which is applicable for non-continuous distribution functions.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-06 Victory Idowu

Model-assisted estimators have attracted a lot of attention in the last three decades. These estimators attempt to make an efficient use of auxiliary information available at the estimation stage. A working model linking the survey variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

Staged trees are a relatively recent class of probabilistic graphical models that extend Bayesian networks to formally and graphically account for non-symmetric patterns of dependence. Machine learning algorithms to learn them from data…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-04 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Discrete statistical models supported on labelled event trees can be specified using so-called interpolating polynomials which are generalizations of generating functions. These admit a nested representation. A new algorithm exploits the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Christiane Görgen , Anna Bigatti , Eva Riccomagno , Jim Q. Smith

We propose reinterpreting copula density estimation as a discriminative task. Under this novel estimation scheme, we train a classifier to distinguish samples from the joint density from those of the product of independent marginals,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 David Huk , Mark Steel , Ritabrata Dutta