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The majority of real-world processes are spatiotemporal, and the data generated by them exhibits both spatial and temporal evolution. Weather is one of the most essential processes in this domain, and weather forecasting has become a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Shakir Showkat Sofi , Ivan Oseledets

Satellite imagery and remote sensing provide explanatory variables at relatively high resolutions for modeling geospatial phenomena, yet regional summaries are often desirable for analysis and actionable insight. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 Sam Kriegman , Marcin Szubert , Josh C. Bongard , Christian Skalka

Spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are popular and flexible models for non-Gaussian spatial data. They are useful for spatial interpolations as well as for fitting regression models that account for spatial dependence, and are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

The evolution of the weather can be described by deterministic numerical weather forecasting models. Multiple runs of these models with different initial conditions and/or model physics result in forecast ensembles which are used for…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sándor Baran , András Horányi , Dóra Nemoda

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

Prediction is a classic challenge in spatial statistics and the inclusion of spatial covariates can greatly improve predictive performance when incorporated into a model with latent spatial effects. It is desirable to develop flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Jon Wakefield

Argo is an international program that collects temperature and salinity observations in the upper two kilometers of the global ocean. Most existing approaches for modeling Argo temperature rely on localized modeling within moving windows,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-28 Nian Liu , Jian Cao

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

The aim of this study is to provide a probabilistic gust analysis for the region of Germany that is calibrated with station observations and with an interpolation to unobserved locations. To this end, we develop a spatial Bayesian…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-04 Philipp Ertz , Petra Friederichs

Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

This work introduces a novel approach for generating conditional probabilistic rainfall forecasts with temporal and spatial dependence. A two-step procedure is employed. Firstly, marginal location-specific distributions are jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 David Huk , Rilwan A. Adewoyin , Ritabrata Dutta

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

Recently all major weather prediction centres provide forecast ensembles of different weather quantities which are obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models with various initial conditions and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-20 Sándor Baran , Dóra Nemoda

A specific implementation of Bayesian model averaging has recently been suggested as a method for the calibration of ensemble temperature forecasts. We point out the similarities between this new approach and an earlier method known as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

A nonlinear regression framework is proposed for time series and panel data for the situation where certain explanatory variables are available at a higher temporal resolution than the dependent variable. The main idea is to use the moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Malte Jahn

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Spatial regression or geographically weighted regression models have been widely adopted to capture the effects of auxiliary information on a response variable of interest over a region. In contrast, relationships between response and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

We introduce a framework for updating large scale geospatial processes using a model-data synthesis method based on Bayesian hierarchical modelling. Two major challenges come from updating large-scale Gaussian process and modelling…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-01 Zhe Sha , Jonathan Rougier , Maike Schumacher , Jonathan Bamber