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The stock market presents a challenging environment for accurately predicting future stock prices due to its intricate and ever-changing nature. However, the utilization of advanced methodologies can significantly enhance the precision of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Luigi Catello , Ludovica Ruggiero , Lucia Schiavone , Mario Valentino

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu

In the current stock market, computer science and technology are more and more widely used to analyse stocks. Not same as most related machine learning stock price prediction work, this work study the predicting the tendency of the stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-25 Fengyu Han , Yue Wang

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Stock market price prediction is a significant interdisciplinary research domain that depends at the intersection of finance, statistics, and economics. Forecasting Accurately predicting stock prices has always been a focal point for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Navin Chhibber , Sunil Khemka , Navneet Kumar Tyagi , Rohit Tewari , Bireswar Banerjee , Piyush Ranjan

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

Designing robust and accurate predictive models for stock price prediction has been an active area of research for a long time. While on one side, the supporters of the efficient market hypothesis claim that it is impossible to forecast…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Stock market forecasting has been a challenging part for many analysts and researchers. Trend analysis, statistical techniques, and movement indicators have traditionally been used to predict stock price movements, but text extraction has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Faraz Sasani , Ramin Mousa , Ali Karkehabadi , Samin Dehbashi , Ali Mohammadi

Despite the efficient market hypothesis, many studies suggest the existence of inefficiencies in the stock market leading to the development of techniques to gain above-market returns. Systematic trading has undergone significant advances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Sungwoo Kang , Jong-Kook Kim

Starting from a corpus of economic articles from The Wall Street Journal, we present a novel systematic way to analyse news content that evolves over time. We leverage on state-of-the-art natural language processing techniques (i.e. GPT3.5)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Deborah Miori , Constantin Petrov

In the recent past, there were several works on the prediction of stock price using different methods. Sentiment analysis of news and tweets and relating them to the movement of stock prices have already been explored. But, when we talk…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Subhasis Dasgupta , Pratik Satpati , Ishika Choudhary , Jaydip Sen

Over the past 30 years, nearly all the gains in the U.S. stock market have been earned overnight, while average intraday returns have been negative or flat. We find that a large part of this effect can be explained through features of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Paul Glasserman , Kriste Krstovski , Paul Laliberte , Harry Mamaysky

Financial stock returns correlations have been studied in the prism of random matrix theory, to distinguish the signal from the "noise". Eigenvalues of the matrix that are above the rescaled Marchenko Pastur distribution can be interpreted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Ixandra Achitouv

Market financial forecasting is a trending area in deep learning. Deep learning models are capable of tackling the classic challenges in stock market data, such as its extremely complicated dynamics as well as long-term temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Shima Nabiee , Nader Bagherzadeh

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

Financial forecasting using news articles is an emerging field. In this paper, we proposed hybrid intelligent models for stock market prediction using the psycholinguistic variables (LIWC and TAALES) extracted from news articles as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 B. Shravan Kumar , Vadlamani Ravi , Rishabh Miglani

This study proposes a new framework to evolve efficacious yet parsimonious neural architectures for the movement prediction of stock market indices using technical indicators as inputs. In the light of a sparse signal-to-noise ratio under…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Faizal Hafiz , Jan Broekaert , Davide La Torre , Akshya Swain