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Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-20 G. Kavitha , A. Udhayakumar , D. Nagarajan

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

While stock prediction task traditionally relies on volume-price and fundamental data to predict the return ratio or price movement trend, sentiment factors derived from social media platforms such as StockTwits offer a complementary and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Xiang Li , Yiyan Qi , Jian Guo , Xiaowen Chu

We use Random Matrix Theory (RMT) and information theory to analyze the correlations and flow of information between 64,939 news from The New York Times and 40 world financial indices during 10 months along the period 2015-2016. The set of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-04 Andrés García-Medina , Leonidas Sandoval Junior , Efraín Urrutia Bañuelos , A. M. Martínez-Argüello

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

This paper proposes a novel adaptive algorithm for the automated short-term trading of financial instrument. The algorithm adopts a semantic sentiment analysis technique to inspect the Twitter posts and to use them to predict the behaviour…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-17 Paolo Cremonesi , Chiara Francalanci , Alessandro Poli , Roberto Pagano , Luca Mazzoni , Alberto Maggioni , Mehdi Elahi

Stock price forecasting is an important issue for investors since extreme accuracy in forecasting can bring about high profits. Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Longest Common/Repeated Sub-sequence (LCS/LRS) are two important issues for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-23 He-Wen Chen , Zih-Ci Wang , Shu-Yu Kuo , Yao-Hsin Chou

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

Financial news contains useful information on public companies and the market. In this paper we apply the popular word embedding methods and deep neural networks to leverage financial news to predict stock price movements in the market.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-25 Yangtuo Peng , Hui Jiang

The stock market is a fundamental component of financial systems, reflecting economic health, providing investment opportunities, and influencing global dynamics. Accurate stock market predictions can lead to significant gains and promote…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Gonzalo Lopez Gil , Paul Duhamel-Sebline , Andrew McCarren

Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Marcelo Sardelich , Suresh Manandhar

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Recent researches on stock prediction using deep learning methods has been actively studied. This is the task to predict the movement of stock prices in the future based on historical trends. The approach to predicting the movement based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-01 Jaeyoung Cheong , Heejoon Lee , Minjung Kang

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

Forecasting stock market prices remains a complex challenge for traders, analysts, and engineers due to the multitude of factors that influence price movements. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Kaushal Attaluri , Mukesh Tripathi , Srinithi Reddy , Shivendra

Traditional stock market prediction methods commonly only utilize the historical trading data, ignoring the fact that stock market fluctuations can be impacted by various other information sources such as stock related events. Although some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-16 Xi Zhang , Yixuan Li , Senzhang Wang , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

Predicting stock prices presents challenges in financial forecasting. While traditional approaches such as ARIMA and RNNs are prevalent, recent developments in Large Language Models (LLMs) offer alternative methodologies. This paper…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Pei-Jun Liao , Hung-Shin Lee , Yao-Fei Cheng , Li-Wei Chen , Hung-yi Lee , Hsin-Min Wang

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed