English
Related papers

Related papers: Single step and multiple step forecasting in one d…

200 papers

We propose the CliPS procedure when fitting Bayesian mixture models in the context of model-based clustering to identify the cluster distributions while simultaneously assessing the suitability of a cluster solution and validating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Bettina Grün

Chirping phenomena, in which the instantaneous frequencies of a signal change with time, are abundant in signals related to biological systems. Biosignals are non-stationary in nature and the time-frequency analysis is a viable tool to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-09-26 Jie Cui , Dinghui Wang

In this paper we present a practical Bayesian self-supervised learning method with Cyclical Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (cSGHMC). Within this framework, we place a prior over the parameters of a self-supervised learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Masoumeh Javanbakhat , Christoph Lippert

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

The two dominant approaches for the analysis of species-habitat associations in animals have been shown to reach divergent conclusions. Models fitted from the viewpoint of an individual (step selection functions), once scaled up, do not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-27 Théo Michelot , Paul G. Blackwell , Jason Matthiopoulos

We propose a chirp-like signal model as an alternative to a chirp model and a generalisation of the sinusoidal model, which is a fundamental model in the statistical signal processing literature. It is observed that the proposed model can…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-17 Rhythm Grover , Debasis Kundu , Amit Mitra

We describe and implement an exact, flexible, and computationally efficient algorithm for joint component separation and CMB power spectrum estimation, building on a Gibbs sampling framework. Two essential new features are 1) conditional…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-11 H. K. Eriksen , J. B. Jewell , C. Dickinson , A. J. Banday , K. M. Gorski , C. R. Lawrence

In projection pursuit regression (PPR), an unknown response function is approximated by the sum of M "ridge functions," which are flexible functions of one-dimensional projections of a multivariate input space. Traditionally, optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-18 Gavin Collins , Devin Francom , Kellin Rumsey

We design and analyze unbiased Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) schemes based on couplings of blocked Gibbs samplers (BGSs), whose total computational costs scale linearly with the number of parameters and data points. Our methodology is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-03 Paolo Maria Ceriani , Andrea Pandolfi , Giacomo Zanella

Researchers increasingly wish to estimate time-varying parameter (TVP) regressions which involve a large number of explanatory variables. Including prior information to mitigate over-parameterization concerns has led to many using Bayesian…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-25 Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Michael Pfarrhofer

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

To meet the increasingly demanding quality-of-service requirements of the next-generation multi-carrier mobile networks, it is essential to design multi-functional signalling schemes facilitating efficient, flexible, and reliable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-11 Zeping Sui , Qu Luo , Zilong Liu , Murat Temiz , Leila Musavian , Christos Masouros , Yong Liang Guan , Pei Xiao , Lajos Hanzo

Posterior sampling is a task of central importance in Bayesian inference. For many applications in Bayesian meta-analysis and Bayesian transfer learning, the prior distribution is unknown and needs to be estimated from samples. In practice,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-06 Chenyang Zhong , Shouxuan Ji , Tian Zheng

We propose a Bayesian approach for both medical inquiry and disease inference, the two major phases in differential diagnosis. Unlike previous work that simulates data from given probabilities and uses ML algorithms on them, we directly use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Hong Guan , Chitta Baral

We study the problem of detecting change points (CPs) that are characterized by a subset of dimensions in a multi-dimensional sequence. A method for detecting those CPs can be formulated as a two-stage method: one for selecting relevant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

We develop a method to perform model averaging in two-stage linear regression systems subject to endogeneity. Our method extends an existing Gibbs sampler for instrumental variables to incorporate a component of model uncertainty. Direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-20 Anna Karl , Alex Lenkoski

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

The level set approach has proven widely successful in the study of inverse problems for interfaces, since its systematic development in the 1990s. Recently it has been employed in the context of Bayesian inversion, allowing for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Matthew M. Dunlop , Marco A. Iglesias , Andrew M. Stuart

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

Multi-stage (designed) procedures, obtained by splitting the sampling budget suitably across stages, and designing the sampling at a particular stage based on information about the parameter obtained from previous stages, are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-08 Atul Mallik , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis