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We study approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for the parameters of the widely used Heston stock and volatility stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We compute explicit closed form estimators maximizing the discretized…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Robert Azencott , Yutheeka Gadhyan

We study the functional linear regression model with a scalar response and a Hilbert space-valued predictor, a canonical example of an ill-posed inverse problem. We show that the functional partial least squares (PLS) estimator attains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Andrii Babii , Marine Carrasco , Idriss Tsafack

The problem of optimal estimation of the linear functionals which depend on the unknown values of a periodically correlated stochastic sequence ${\zeta}(j)$ from observations of the sequence ${\zeta}(j)+{\theta}(j)$ at points…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Iryna Golichenko , Oleksandr Masyutka , Mikhail Moklyachuk

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a convex hazard function. We show that the MLE is consistent and converges at a local rate of $n^{2/5}$ at points $x_0$ where the true hazard function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hanna K. Jankowski , Jon A. Wellner

In natural language processing (NLP), the likelihood ratios (LRs) of N-grams are often estimated from the frequency information. However, a corpus contains only a fraction of the possible N-grams, and most of them occur infrequently. Hence,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Masato Kikuchi , Mitsuo Yoshida , Kyoji Umemura , Tadachika Ozono

We study the fundamental task of estimating the median of an underlying distribution from a finite number of samples, under pure differential privacy constraints. We focus on distributions satisfying the minimal assumption that they have a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Christos Tzamos , Emmanouil-Vasileios Vlatakis-Gkaragkounis , Ilias Zadik

For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

We investigate pointwise estimation of the function-valued velocity field of a second-order linear SPDE. Based on multiple spatially localised measurements, we construct a weighted augmented MLE and study its convergence properties as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Claudia Strauch , Anton Tiepner

We consider the problem of estimating the slope parameter in functional linear regression, where scalar responses Y1,...,Yn are modeled in dependence of second order stationary random functions X1,...,Xn. An orthogonal series estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-28 Jan Johannes

We present an efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of exponential family models, with a general parametrization of the energy function that includes neural networks. We exploit the primal-dual view of the MLE with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Bo Dai , Zhen Liu , Hanjun Dai , Niao He , Arthur Gretton , Le Song , Dale Schuurmans

We consider the problem of estimating the support size of a discrete distribution whose minimum non-zero mass is at least $ \frac{1}{k}$. Under the independent sampling model, we show that the sample complexity, i.e., the minimal sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

The problem of the mean-square optimal estimation of the linear functionals which depend on the unknown values of a stochastic stationary sequence from observations of the sequence in special sets of points is considered. Formulas for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Oleksandr Masyutka , Mikhail Moklyachuk

The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and the likelihood ratio statistic in a family of problems involving pointwise nonparametric estimation of a monotone function is studied. This class of problems differs radically from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Moulinath Banerjee

The paper deals with the non-parametric estimation in the regression with the multiplicative noise. Using the local polynomial fitting and the bayesian approach, we construct the minimax on isotropic H\"older class estimator. Next applying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 M. Chichignoud

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Wenlong Mou , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

We consider the sampling problem for functional PCA (fPCA), where the simplest example is the case of taking time samples of the underlying functional components. More generally, we model the sampling operation as a continuous linear map…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Arash A. Amini , Martin J. Wainwright

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

In this paper, we establish minimax optimal rates of convergence for prediction in a semi-functional linear model that consists of a functional component and a less smooth nonparametric component. Our results reveal that the smoother…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Keli Guo , Jun Fan , Lixing Zhu

Evaluating treatments received by one population for application to a different target population of scientific interest is a central problem in causal inference from observational studies. We study the minimax linear estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 David A. Hirshberg , Arian Maleki , Jose R. Zubizarreta
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