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We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

We propose a new approach to represent nonparametrically the linear dependence structure of a spatio-temporal process in terms of latent common factors. Though it is formally similar to the existing reduced rank approximation methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Da Huang , Qiwei Yao , Rongmao Zhang

We introduce a conceptually novel structured prediction model, GPstruct, which is kernelized, non-parametric and Bayesian, by design. We motivate the model with respect to existing approaches, among others, conditional random fields (CRFs),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-16 Sebastien Bratieres , Novi Quadrianto , Zoubin Ghahramani

We propose a novel algorithm for the support estimation of partially known Gaussian graphical models that incorporates prior information about the underlying graph. In contrast to classical approaches that provide a point estimate based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Martín Sevilla , Antonio García Marques , Santiago Segarra

We consider modeling of angular or directional data viewed as a linear variable wrapped onto a unit circle. In particular, we focus on the spatio-temporal context, motivated by a collection of wave directions obtained as computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

With computational models becoming more expensive and complex, surrogate models have gained increasing attention in many scientific disciplines and are often necessary to conduct sensitivity studies, parameter optimization etc. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Matthias Fischer , Carsten Proppe

In this note, we analyze two random greedy processes on sparse random graphs and hypergraphs with a given degree sequence. First we analyze the matching process, which builds a set of disjoint edges one edge at a time; then we analyze the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Deepak Bal , Patrick Bennett

In this work, we present a new class of models, called uncertain-input models, that allows us to treat system-identification problems in which a linear system is subject to a partially unknown input signal. To encode prior information about…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Covariance tapering is a popular approach for reducing the computational cost of spatial prediction and parameter estimation for Gaussian process models. However, tapering can have poor performance when the process is sampled at spatially…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-22 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

The use of weather index insurances is subject to spatial basis risk, which arises from the fact that the location of the user's risk exposure is not the same as the location of any of the weather stations where an index can be measured. To…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-01 Yiping Guo , Johnny Siu-Hang Li

This paper presents a new approach to the estimation of the deformation of an isotropic Gaussian random field on $\mathbb{R}^2$ based on dense observations of a single realization of the deformed random field. Under this framework we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ethan B. Anderes , Michael L. Stein

Graph models are relevant in many fields, such as distributed computing, intelligent tutoring systems or social network analysis. In many cases, such models need to take changes in the graph structure into account, i.e. a varying number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Benjamin Paaßen , Christina Göpfert , Barbara Hammer

In this paper we address the statistical problem of testing if a stationary process is Gaussian. The observation consists in a finite sample path of the process. Using a random projection technique introduced and studied in Cuesta-Albertos…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-19 Juan . A. Cuesta-Albertos , Fabrice Gamboa Alicia Nieto-Reyes

Probabilistic models are often used to make predictions in regions of the data space where no observations are available, but it is not always clear whether such predictions are well-informed by previously seen data. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Kurt Butler , Guanchao Feng , Tong Chen , Petar Djuric

Gaussian random fields (GRF) are a fundamental stochastic model for spatiotemporal data analysis. An essential ingredient of GRF is the covariance function that characterizes the joint Gaussian distribution of the field. Commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Jie Chen , Michael L. Stein

Projection-based iterative methods for solving large over-determined linear systems are well-known for their simplicity and computational efficiency. It is also known that the correct choice of a sketching procedure (i.e., preprocessing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Elizaveta Rebrova , Deanna Needell

We investigate two new strategies for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems within the Regression Monte Carlo (RMC) framework of Longstaff and Schwartz. First, we propose the use of stochastic kriging (Gaussian process)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-27 Michael Ludkovski

Recently, there has been extensive research on the capabilities of biologically plausible algorithms. In this work, we show how one of such algorithms, called predictive coding, is able to perform causal inference tasks. First, we show how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Tommaso Salvatori , Luca Pinchetti , Amine M'Charrak , Beren Millidge , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Variational methods have been recently considered for scaling the training process of Gaussian process classifiers to large datasets. As an alternative, we describe here how to train these classifiers efficiently using expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-17 Daniel Hernández-Lobato , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Most of the existing robotic exploration schemes use occupancy grid representations and geometric targets known as frontiers. The occupancy grid representation relies on the assumption of independence between grid cells and ignores…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Maani Ghaffari Jadidi , Jaime Valls Miro , Gamini Dissanayake