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A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

We develop a model for contagion in reinsurance networks by which primary insurers' losses are spread through the network. Our model handles general reinsurance contracts, such as typical excess of loss contracts. We show that simpler…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-25 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

Interbank lending and borrowing occur when financial institutions seek to settle and refinance their mutual positions over time and circumstances. This interactive process involves money creation at the aggregate level. Coordination…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Feng Zhou

We provide an overview of the relationship between financial networks and systemic risk. We present a taxonomy of different types of systemic risk, differentiating between direct externalities between financial organizations (e.g.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-24 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

We propose a minimal model of the secured interbank network able to shed light on recent money markets puzzles. We find that excess liquidity emerges due to the interactions between the reserves and liquidity ratio constraints; the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-25 Victor Le Coz , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

This work proposes an augmented variant of DebtRank with uncertainty intervals as a method to investigate and assess systemic risk in financial networks, in a context of incomplete data. The algorithm is tested against a default contagion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-05 Stefano Gurciullo

Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-23 Aymeric Vié , Alfredo J. Morales

We introduce a probabilistic framework that represents stylized banking networks with the aim of predicting the size of contagion events. Most previous work on random financial networks assumes independent connections between banks, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-12 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik

We study the mean field approximation of a recent model of cascades on networks relevant to the investigation of systemic risk control in financial networks. In the model, the hypothesis of a trend reinforcement in the stochastic process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-11-13 Jan Lorenz , Stefano Battiston

In this paper, we assess how the stability of financial networks is affected by interconnectedness considering its tiniest variation: the edge. We compute the impact of edges as the percentage difference in the systemic risk (SR) of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-06 Michel Alexandre , Thiago Christiano Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Aggregate and systemic risk in complex systems are emergent phenomena depending on two properties: the idiosyncratic risks of the elements and the topology of the network of interactions among them. While a significant attention has been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Elisa Letizia , Fabrizio Lillo

Digital banking and online communication have made modern bank runs faster and more networked than the canonical queue-at-the-branch setting. While equilibrium models explain why strategic complementarities generate run risk, they offer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Chris Ruano , Shreshth Rajan

The theory of multilayer networks is in its early stages, and its development provides vital methods for understanding complex systems. Multilayer networks, in their multiplex form, have been introduced within the last three years to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-04 Antoaneta Serguieva

The scope of financial systemic risk research encompasses a wide range of interbank channels and effects, including asset correlation shocks, default contagion, illiquidity contagion, and asset fire sales. This paper introduces a financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Thomas R. Hurd , Davide Cellai , Sergey Melnik , Quentin Shao

In this paper we consider a mean-field model of interacting diffusions for the monetary reserves in which the reserves are subjected to a self- and cross-exciting shock. This is motivated by the financial acceleration and fire sales…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-11 Anastasia Borovykh , Andrea Pascucci , Stefano la Rovere

We analyse the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. The contagion effect in the network is tested by implementing an epidemiological model, comprising a number of European countries and using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-23 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-24 Xiaobing Feng , Haibo Hu

This paper introduces forward-looking measures of the network connectedness of fears in the financial system, arising due to the good and bad beliefs of market participants about uncertainty that spreads unequally across a network of banks.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Jozef Barunik , Mattia Bevilacqua , Radu Tunaru