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While logistic regression models are easily accessible to researchers, when applied to network data there are unrealistic assumptions made about the dependence structure of the data. For temporal networks measured in discrete time, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Daniel K. Sewell

We propose a simple method of constructing a system of differential equations of chaotic behavior based on the regression only from a scalar observable time-series data. The estimated system enables us to reconstruct invariant sets and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Natsuki Tsutsumi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

Time series imputation is one of the most challenge problems and has broad applications in various fields like health care and the Internet of Things. Existing methods mainly aim to model the temporally latent dependencies and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Ruichu Cai , Kaitao Zheng , Junxian Huang , Zijian Li , Zhengming Chen , Boyan Xu , Zhifeng Hao

A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model is commonly used to model multivariate time series, and there are many penalized methods to handle high dimensionality. However in terms of spatio-temporal data, most methods do not take the spatial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Zhenzhong Wang , Abolfazl Safikhani , Zhengyuan Zhu , David S. Matteson

Dynamic linear models (DLM) offer a very generic framework to analyse time series data. Many classical time series models can be formulated as DLMs, including ARMA models and standard multiple linear regression models. The models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Marko Laine

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

In the last decade, there has been a growing body of literature addressing the utilization of complex network methods for the characterization of dynamical systems based on time series. While both nonlinear time series analysis and complex…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-02-03 Yong Zou , Reik V. Donner , Norbert Marwan , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Kurths

Complex networks have become powerful mechanisms for studying a variety of realworld systems. Consequently, many human-designed network models are proposed that reproduce nontrivial properties of complex networks, such as long-tail degree…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-10-05 Niousha Attar , Sadegh Aliakbary

Empirical data on real complex systems are becoming increasingly available. Parallel to this is the need for new methods of reconstructing (inferring) the topology of networks from time-resolved observations of their node-dynamics. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Marc G. Leguia , Zoran Levnajic , Ljupco Todorovski , Bernard Zenko

The study of network formation is pervasive in economics, sociology, and many other fields. In this paper, we model network formation as a `choice' that is made by nodes in a network to connect to other nodes. We study these `choices' using…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Harsh Gupta , Mason A. Porter

Multivariate time series forecasting is of great importance to many scientific disciplines and industrial sectors. The evolution of a multivariate time series depends on the dynamics of its variables and the connectivity network of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Christos Koutlis , Symeon Papadopoulos , Manos Schinas , Ioannis Kompatsiaris

Biological systems are driven by intricate interactions among the complex array of molecules that comprise the cell. Many methods have been developed to reconstruct network models of those interactions. These methods often draw on large…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-29 Marieke Lydia Kuijjer , Matthew Tung , GuoCheng Yuan , John Quackenbush , Kimberly Glass

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

We propose a novel approach for analysing time series using complex network theory. We identify the recurrence matrix calculated from time series with the adjacency matrix of a complex network, and apply measures for the characterisation of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-17 N. Marwan , J. F. Donges , Y. Zou , R. V. Donner , J. Kurths

For general panel data, by introducing network structure, network vector autoregressive (NVAR) model captured the linear inter dependencies among multiple time series. In this paper, we propose network vector autoregressive model for dyadic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-31 Jiajia Wang

We propose a recurrent extension of the Ladder networks whose structure is motivated by the inference required in hierarchical latent variable models. We demonstrate that the recurrent Ladder is able to handle a wide variety of complex…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Isabeau Prémont-Schwarz , Alexander Ilin , Tele Hotloo Hao , Antti Rasmus , Rinu Boney , Harri Valpola

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

Network regularization is an effective tool for incorporating structural prior knowledge to learn coherent models over networks, and has yielded provably accurate estimates in applications ranging from spatial economics to neuroimaging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Hongyuan You , Furkan Kocayusufoglu , Ambuj K. Singh

We propose directed time series regression, a new approach to estimating parameters of time-series models for use in certainty equivalent model predictive control. The approach combines merits of least squares regression and empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Yi-Hao Kao , Benjamin Van Roy

We consider a distributed detection system with communication constraints, where several nodes are arranged in an arbitrary tree topology, under the assumption of conditionally independent observations. We propose a cyclic design procedure…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Alla Tarighati , Joakim Jalden
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