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High-quality power flow datasets are essential for training machine learning models in power systems. However, security and privacy concerns restrict access to real-world data, making statistically accurate and physically consistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Milad Hoseinpour , Vladimir Dvorkin

We present evidence that the best model for empirical volume-price distributions is not always the same and it strongly depends in (i) the region of the volume-price spectrum that one wants to model and (ii) the period in time that is being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Paulo Rocha , Frank Raischel , João Pedro Boto , Pedro G. Lind

In this paper, we consider the problem of parameter estimating for a family of exponential distributions. We develop the improved estimation method, which generalized the James--Stein approach for a wide class of distributions. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-08 S. B. Kologrivova , E. A. Pchelintsev

We propose an effective exponential model of delay discounting considering fluctuation in impulsivity. This model is seen to be dual to the two-parameter Tsallis model of delay discounting proposed by Takahashi in 2007. We demonstrate that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-22 Trambak Bhattacharyya , Shanu Shukla , Ranu Pandey

Graphical models encode conditional independence statements of a multivariate distribution via a graph. Traditionally, the marginal distributions in a graphical model are assumed to be Gaussian. In this paper, we propose a three-level…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Simón Lunagómez

A hybrid censoring scheme is a mixture of Type-I and Type-II censoring schemes. We study the estimation of parameters of weighted exponential distribution based on Type-II hybrid censored data. By applying EM algorithm, maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Akram Kohansal , Saeid Rezakhah

We propose a two-parameter bounded probability distribution called the extended power distribution. This distribution on $(0, 1)$ is similar to the beta distribution, however there are some advantages which we explore. We define the moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-09 Chibueze E. Ogbonnaya , Simon P. Preston , Andrew T. A. Wood

Recent advances in uncertainty quantification increasingly emphasise the distinction between aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning, motivating the need for more unified frameworks. However, despite much progress in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yu Chen , Scott Ferson

The current landscape in time-series forecasting is dominated by Transformer-based models. Their high parameter count and corresponding demand in computational resources pose a challenge to real-world deployment, especially for commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Nicholas Kiefer , Arvid Weyrauch , Muhammed Öz , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

In this paper we present detailed simulation results on the wealth distribution model with quenched saving propensities. Unlike other wealth distribution models where the saving propensities are either zero or constant, this model is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 K. Bhattacharya , G. Mukherjee , S. S. Manna

This paper is concerned with the study of constrained statistical learning problems, the unconstrained version of which are at the core of virtually all of modern information processing. Accounting for constraints, however, is paramount to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Luiz F. O. Chamon , Santiago Paternain , Miguel Calvo-Fullana , Alejandro Ribeiro

Starting from the generalized exponential function $\exp_{\kappa}(x)=(\sqrt{1+\kappa^{2}x^{2}}+\kappa x)^{1/\kappa}$, with $\exp_{0}(x)=\exp(x)$, proposed in Ref. [G. Kaniadakis, Physica A \textbf{296}, 405 (2001)], the survival function…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 F. Clementi , M. Gallegati , G. Kaniadakis

Several tasks in information retrieval (IR) rely on assumptions regarding the distribution of some property (such as term frequency) in the data being processed. This thesis argues that such distributional assumptions can lead to incorrect…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Casper Petersen

We propose a compression-based version of the empirical entropy of a finite string over a finite alphabet. Whereas previously one considers the naked entropy of (possibly higher order) Markov processes, we consider the sum of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-05 Paul M. B. Vitányi

We introduce a directed, weighted random graph model, where the edge-weights are independent and beta-distributed with parameters depending on their endpoints. We will show that the row- and column-sums of the transformed edge-weight matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Marianna Bolla , Ahmed Elbanna , Jozsef Mala

Analysis of survival data with biased samples caused by left-truncation or length-biased sampling has received extensive interest. Many inference methods have been developed for various survival models. These methods, however, break down…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Li-Pang Chen

As a nonparametric statistical inference approach, empirical likelihood has been found very useful in numerous occasions. However, it encounters serious computational challenges when applied directly to the modern massive dataset. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Jinye Du , Qihua Wang

We commonly encounter the problem of identifying an optimally weight adjusted version of the empirical distribution of observed data, adhering to predefined constraints on the weights. Such constraints often manifest as restrictions on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-17 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

The classical approach to multivariate extreme value modelling assumes that the joint distribution belongs to a multivariate domain of attraction. This requires each marginal distribution be individually attracted to a univariate extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Sidney Resnick , David Zeber

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull