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This paper discusses the problem of adaptive estimation of a univariate object like the value of a regression function at a given point or a linear functional in a linear inverse problem. We consider an adaptive procedure originated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Vladimir Spokoiny , Céline Vial

In reinforcement learning (RL), it is often advantageous to consider additional constraints on the action space to ensure safety or action relevance. Existing work on such action-constrained RL faces challenges regarding effective policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Roland Stolz , Michael Eichelbeck , Matthias Althoff

This paper considers an empirical risk minimization problem under heavy-tailed settings, where data does not have finite variance, but only has $p$-th moment with $p \in (1,2)$. Instead of using estimation procedure based on truncated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Guanhua Fang , Ping Li , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Exponential distribution is ubiquitous in the framework of multi-agent systems. Usually, it appears as an equilibrium state in the asymptotic time evolution of statistical systems. It has been explained from very different perspectives. In…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-03-10 Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz , Jose-Luis Lopez , Xavier Calbet

The piecewise exponential model is a flexible non-parametric approach for time-to-event data, but extrapolation beyond final observation times typically relies on random walk priors and deterministic knot locations, resulting in unrealistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Luke Hardcastle , Samuel Livingstone , Gianluca Baio

In simulations of some economic gas-like models, the asymptotic regime shows an exponential wealth distribution, independently of the initial wealth distribution given to the system. The appearance of this statistical equilibrium for this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-23 Jose-Luis Lopez , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz , Xavier Calbet

We propose an optimal-transport-based matching method to nonparametrically estimate linear models with independent latent variables. The method consists in generating pseudo-observations from the latent variables, so that the Euclidean…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Manuel Arellano , Stephane Bonhomme

Weighted Updating generalizes Bayesian updating, allowing for biased beliefs by weighting the likelihood function and prior distribution with positive real exponents. I provide a rigorous foundation for the model by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Jesse Aaron Zinn

Motivated by a recent result of Daskalakis et al. 2018, we analyze the population version of Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for the case of \textit{truncated} mixtures of two Gaussians. Truncated samples from a $d$-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Sai Ganesh Nagarajan , Ioannis Panageas

This Colloquium reviews statistical models for money, wealth, and income distributions developed in the econophysics literature since the late 1990s. By analogy with the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution of energy in physics, it is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-24 Victor M. Yakovenko , J. Barkley Rosser

We consider the segmentation problem of univariate distributions from the exponential family with multiple parameters. In segmentation, the choice of the number of segments remains a difficult issue due to the discrete nature of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Alice Cleynen , Emilie Lebarbier

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

A new characterization of the exponential distribution is obtained. It is based on an equation involving randomly shifted (translated) order statistics. No specific distribution is assumed for the shift random variables. The proof uses a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Santanu Chakraborty , George P. Yanev

We provide a precise formula for the spectrum of the Hatano-Nelson model with strictly ergodic potentials in terms of its Lyapunov exponent. As applications, one clearly observes the real-complex spectrum transition. Moreover, if the…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Xueyin Wang , Zhenfu Wang , Jiangong You , Qi Zhou

Close examination of wealth distributions reveal the existence of two distinct power law regimes. The Pareto exponents of the super-rich, identified for example in rich lists such as provided by Forbes are smaller than the Pareto exponents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Ricardo Coelho , Peter Richmond , Joseph Barry , Stefan Hutzler

We elaborate on a deconvolution method, used to estimate the empirical distribution of unknown parameters, as suggested recently by Efron (2013). It is applied to estimating the empirical distribution of the 'sampling probabilities' of m…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-20 Eitan Greenshtein , Theodor Itskov

We propose an approach to compute the conditional moments of fat-tailed phenomena that, only looking at data, could be mistakenly considered as having infinite mean. This type of problems manifests itself when a random variable Y has a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Pasquale Cirillo

In this paper we study the one dimensional random geometric graph when the location of the nodes are independent and exponentially distributed. We derive exact results and the limit theorems for the connectivity and other properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bhupendra Gupta , Srikanth K. Iyer , D. Manjunath

We prove that the refined approach -- our extension of the Yakovenko et al. formalism -- is universal in the sense that it describes well both household incomes in the European Union and the individual incomes in the United States for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Maciej Jagielski , Rafał Duczmal , Ryszard Kutner

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander
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