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In this paper, we investigate meta-learning for combining forecasts generated by models of different types. While typical approaches for combining forecasts involve simple averaging, machine learning techniques enable more sophisticated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Grzegorz Dudek

The Earth is a system of numerous interconnected spheres, such as the climate. Climate's global and regional influence requires understanding its evolution in space and time to improve knowledge and forecasts. Analyzing and studying decades…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-21 E Ankitha Reddy , KS Rajan

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

There has been much progress on efficient algorithms for clustering data points generated by a mixture of $k$ probability distributions under the assumption that the means of the distributions are well-separated, i.e., the distance between…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-04-13 Amit Kumar , Ravindran Kannan

Accurate and reliable air quality forecasting is essential for protecting public health, sustainable development, pollution control, and enhanced urban planning. This letter presents a novel WaveCatBoost architecture designed to forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Jintu Borah , Tanujit Chakraborty , Md. Shahrul Md. Nadzir , Mylene G. Cayetano , Shubhankar Majumdar

During the past two decades, methods for identifying groups with different trends in longitudinal data have become of increasing interest across many areas of research. To support researchers, we summarize the guidance from the literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Niek Den Teuling , Steffen Pauws , Edwin van den Heuvel

Clustering plays a crucial role in computer science, facilitating data analysis and problem-solving across numerous fields. By partitioning large datasets into meaningful groups, clustering reveals hidden structures and relationships within…

Databases · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Aryan Esmailpour , Stavros Sintos

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

In this paper, we study clustering with respect to the k-modes objective function, a natural formulation of clustering for categorical data. One of the main contributions of this paper is to establish the connection between k-modes and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Zengyou He

Statistical post-processing techniques are now widely used to correct systematic biases and errors in calibration of ensemble forecasts obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models. A standard approach is the ensemble…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Sándor Baran , Sebastian Lerch

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

We propose a three-stage framework for forecasting high-dimensional time-series data. Our method first estimates parameters for each univariate time series. Next, we use these parameters to cluster the time series. These clusters can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Nikhil Rao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael I. Jordan , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Various methods have been developed to combine inference across multiple sets of results for unsupervised clustering, within the ensemble clustering literature. The approach of reporting results from one `best' model out of several…

Statistical post-processing of dynamical forecast ensembles is an essential component of weather forecasting. In this article, we present a post-processing method that generates full predictive probability distributions for precipitation…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer

This study introduces a predictive maintenance strategy for high pressure industrial compressors using sensor data and features derived from unsupervised clustering integrated into classification models. The goal is to enhance model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Alessandro Costa , Emilio Mastriani , Federico Incardona , Kevin Munari , Sebastiano Spinello

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making. A prominent example is probabilistic forecasting in numerical weather prediction. The dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Lizao Li , Rob Carver , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Fei Sha , John Anderson

Existing clustering methods are based on a single granularity of information, such as the distance and density of each data. This most fine-grained based approach is usually inefficient and susceptible to noise. Inspired by adaptive process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Shuyin Xia , Jiang Xie , Guoyin Wang

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

Time-series clustering serves as a powerful data mining technique for time-series data in the absence of prior knowledge about clusters. A large amount of time-series data with large size has been acquired and used in various research…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Tomoki Inoue , Koyo Kubota , Tsubasa Ikami , Yasuhiro Egami , Hiroki Nagai , Takahiro Kashikawa , Koichi Kimura , Yu Matsuda