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Learning systems are typically optimized by minimizing loss or maximizing reward, assuming that improvements in these signals reflect progress toward the true objective. However, when feedback reliability is unobservable, this assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Zhipeng Zhang , Zhenjie Yao , Kai Li , Lei Yang

Interval-censored multi-state data arise in many studies of chronic diseases, where the health status of a subject can be characterized by a finite number of disease states and the transition between any two states is only known to occur…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-19 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , Gerardo Heiss , D. Y. Lin

Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is a parameter estimation method from incomplete observations. In this paper, an implementation of this method to the calibration of HKS spectrometer at Jefferson Lab is described. We show that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Lulin Yuan

Conditional language models are predominantly trained with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), giving probability mass to sparsely observed target sequences. While MLE trained models assign high probability to plausible sequences given the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Yao Zhao , Misha Khalman , Rishabh Joshi , Shashi Narayan , Mohammad Saleh , Peter J. Liu

In this paper, we explore connections between interpretable machine learning and learning theory through the lens of local approximation explanations. First, we tackle the traditional problem of performance generalization and bound the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Jeffrey Li , Vaishnavh Nagarajan , Gregory Plumb , Ameet Talwalkar

Despite widespread success in language understanding and generation, large language models (LLMs) exhibit unclear and often inconsistent behavior when faced with tasks that require probabilistic reasoning. In this work, we present the first…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mobina Pournemat , Keivan Rezaei , Gaurang Sriramanan , Arman Zarei , Jiaxiang Fu , Yang Wang , Hamid Eghbalzadeh , Soheil Feizi

Traditional finance and macroeconomic models usually assume people can form rational expectations or reach them via a learning path by minimizing prediction errors. The recent Reference Model Based Learning (RMBL) model provides a new…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-05 Jiaoying Pei

A key problem in structured output prediction is direct optimization of the task reward function that matters for test evaluation. This paper presents a simple and computationally efficient approach to incorporate task reward into a maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-05 Mohammad Norouzi , Samy Bengio , Zhifeng Chen , Navdeep Jaitly , Mike Schuster , Yonghui Wu , Dale Schuurmans

This paper develops several interesting, significant, and interconnected approaches to nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical inferences. The overwhelmingly favoured maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under parametric model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Haodi Liang , Jiahua Chen

Simulation-based inference techniques are indispensable for parameter estimation of mechanistic and simulable models with intractable likelihoods. While traditional statistical approaches like approximate Bayesian computation and Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Ryan P. Kelly , David J. Nott , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Chris Drovandi

In this paper, we tackle for the first time the problem of maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) parameter over time-varying single-input multiple-output (SIMO) channels. Both the data-aided (DA) and the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-19 Faouzi Bellili , Rabii Meftehi , Sofiene Affes , Alex Stephenne

We develop a latent variable model and an efficient spectral algorithm motivated by the recent emergence of very large data sets of chromatin marks from multiple human cell types. A natural model for chromatin data in one cell type is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-09 Chicheng Zhang , Jimin Song , Kevin C Chen , Kamalika Chaudhuri

We consider a statistical inverse learning problem, where we observe the image of a function $f$ through a linear operator $A$ at i.i.d. random design points $X_i$, superposed with an additive noise. The distribution of the design points is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-15 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Mücke

A central area of research in nonlinear science is the study of instabilities that drive the emergence of extreme events. Unfortunately, experimental techniques for measuring such phenomena often provide only partial characterization. For…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-06-19 Mikko Närhi , Lauri Salmela , Juha Toivonen , Cyril Billet , John M. Dudley , Goëry Genty

Machine Learning (ML) is increasingly used across many disciplines with impressive reported results. However, recent studies suggest published performance of ML models are often overoptimistic. Validity concerns are underscored by findings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Pouria Saidi , Gautam Dasarathy , Visar Berisha

Energy-based models (EBMs) offer a flexible framework for parameterizing probability distributions using neural networks. However, learning EBMs by exact maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is generally intractable, due to the need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Michael E. Sander , Vincent Roulet , Tianlin Liu , Mathieu Blondel

Loss of plasticity is a phenomenon where neural networks can become more difficult to train over the course of learning. Continual learning algorithms seek to mitigate this effect by sustaining good performance while maintaining network…

Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is an efficient and effective least-square-based learning algorithm for classification, regression problems based on single hidden layer feed-forward neural network (SLFN). It has been shown in the literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Ramesh Ragala , Bharadwaja kumar

Self-paced learning (SPL) is a recently raised methodology designed through simulating the learning principle of humans/animals. A variety of SPL realization schemes have been designed for different computer vision and pattern recognition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-02 Deyu Meng , Qian Zhao , Lu Jiang

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell