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The stochastic trajectories of molecules in living cells, as well as the dynamics in many other complex systems, often exhibit memory in their path over long periods of time. In addition, these systems can show dynamic heterogeneities due…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-10 Michał Balcerek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Krzysztof Burnecki , Ralf Metzler , Diego Krapf

The need to estimate a particular quantile of a distribution is an important problem which frequently arises in many computer vision and signal processing applications. For example, our work was motivated by the requirements of many…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-04-22 Ognjen Arandjelovic , Duc-Son Pham , Svetha Venkatesh

We study random walks on the integers driven by a sample of time-dependent nearest-neighbor conductances that are bounded but are permitted to vanish over time intervals of positive Lebesgue-length. Assuming only ergodicity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Marek Biskup , Minghao Pan

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

We obtain a maximum principle for stochastic control problem of general controlled stochastic differential systems driven by fractional Brownian motions (of Hurst parameter $H>1/2$). This maximum principle specifies a system of equations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Yuecai Han , Yaozhong Hu , Jian Song

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

This paper considers the effect of least squares procedures for nearly unstable linear time series with strongly dependent innovations. Under a general framework and appropriate scaling, it is shown that ordinary least squares procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Boris Buchmann , Ngai Hang Chan

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

Let \beta_k(n) be the number of self-intersections of order k, appropriately renormalized, for a mean zero random walk X_n in Z^2 with 2+\delta moments. On a suitable probability space we can construct X_n and a planar Brownian motion W_t…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Richard F. Bass , Jay Rosen

In this paper some general theory is presented for locally stationary processes based on the stationary approximation and the stationary derivative. Laws of large numbers, central limit theorems as well as deterministic and stochastic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu

Donsker Theorem is perhaps the most famous invariance principle result for Markov processes. It states that when properly normalized, a random walk behaves asymptotically like a Brownian motion. This approach can be extended to general…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Eustache Besançon , E Besanç On , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal

We consider random perturbations of discrete-time dynamical systems. We give sufficient conditions for the stochastic stability of certain classes of maps, in a strong sense. This improves the main result in J. F. Alves, V. Araujo, Random…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Jose F. Alves , Helder Vilarinho

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this work, we perform safety analysis of linear dynamical systems with uncertainties. Instead of computing a conservative overapproximation of the reachable set, our approach involves computing a statistical approximate reachable set. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-17 Bineet Ghosh , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

We obtain a quenched vector-valued almost sure invariance principle (ASIP) for random expanding on average cocycles. This is achieved by combining the adapted version of Gou\"{e}zel's approach for establishing ASIP and the recent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Davor Dragičević , Yeor Hafouta , Julien Sedro

Working notes on setting up approximate dynamical systems and nonlinear eigenvalue problems, here embedded within the theory of complex nonlinear dynamics. Computations parallel those of linear quantum theory except that we use functional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-12-24 K. R. W. Jones

We describe a framework in which is possible to develop and implement algorithms for the approximation of invariant measures of dynamical systems with a given bound on the error of the approximation. Our approach is based on a general…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Stefano Galatolo , Isaia Nisoli

We study well-posedness of sweeping processes with stochastic perturbations generated by a fractional Brownian motion and convergence of associated numerical schemes. To this end, we first prove new existence, uniqueness and approximation…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-05-07 Adrian Falkowski , Leszek Slominski

We introduce a method for learning provably stable deep neural network based dynamic models from observed data. Specifically, we consider discrete-time stochastic dynamic models, as they are of particular interest in practical applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Nathan P. Lawrence , Philip D. Loewen , Michael G. Forbes , Johan U. Backström , R. Bhushan Gopaluni

We study non-stationary stochastic processes arising from sequential dynamical systems built on maps with a neutral fixed points and prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for such processes. We use an approach developed in \cite{FFV16},…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti