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Binomial time series in which the logit of the probability of success is modelled as a linear function of observed regressors and a stationary latent Gaussian process are considered. Score tests are developed to first test for the existence…
Generalized method of moments estimators based on higher-order moment conditions derived from independent shocks can be used to identify and estimate the simultaneous interaction in structural vector autoregressions. This study highlights…
Starting from inhomogeneous time scaling and linear decorrelation between successive price returns, Baldovin and Stella recently proposed a way to build a model describing the time evolution of a financial index. We first make it fully…
A dynamic model for failures in biological organisms is proposed and studied both analytically and numerically. Each cell in the organism becomes dead under sufficiently strong stress, and is then allowed to be healed with some probability.…
Successful modeling of degradation performance data is essential for accurate reliability assessment and failure predictions of highly reliable product units. The degradation performance measurements over time are highly heterogeneous. Such…
We propose a novel strategy for multivariate extreme value index estimation. In applications such as finance, volatility and risk present in the components of a multivariate time series are often driven by the same underlying factors, such…
In this paper, we study a sampling problem where a source takes samples from a Wiener process and transmits them through a wireless channel to a remote estimator. Due to channel fading, interference, and potential collisions, the packet…
The failure of a system can result from the simultaneous effects of multiple causes, where assigning a specific cause may be inappropriate or unavailable. Examples include contributing causes of death in epidemiology and the aetiology of…
This is a technical report that extends and clarifies the results presented in [1]. The model identification problem for asymptotically stable linear time invariant systems is considered. The system output is affected by an additive noise…
Understanding how stochastic gene expression is regulated in biological systems using snapshots of single-cell transcripts requires state-of-the-art methods of computational analysis and statistical inference. A Bayesian approach to…
Inferring processes or constructs from performance data is a major hallmark of cognitive psychometrics. Particularly, diffusion modeling of response times (RTs) from correct and erroneous responses using the Wiener distribution has become a…
Supervised learning models are one of the most fundamental classes of models. Viewing supervised learning from a probabilistic perspective, the set of training data to which the model is fitted is usually assumed to follow a stationary…
We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…
For latent class models where the class weights depend on individual covariates, we derive a simple expression for computing the score vector and a convenient hybrid between the observed and the expected information matrices which is always…
High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…
We establish a general framework to study the rate of convergence of a Euler type approximation scheme with decreasing time steps to the invariant measure, for a general class of stochastic systems. The error is measured in general…
This paper introduces a novel multi-stage decision-making model that integrates hypothesis testing and dynamic programming algorithms to address complex decision-making scenarios.Initially,we develop a sampling inspection scheme that…
In recent times, products have become increasingly complex and highly reliable, so failures typically occur after long periods of operation under normal conditions and may arise from multiple causes. This paper employs simple step-stress…
In this paper, we study the numerical algorithm for a nonlinear poroelasticity model with nonlinear stress-strain relations. By using variable substitution, the original problem can be reformulated to a new coupled fluid-fluid system, that…
This work develops Monte Carlo Euler adaptive time stepping methods for the weak approximation problem of jump diffusion driven stochastic differential equations. The main result is the derivation of a new expansion for the omputational…