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Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) are widely used methods for estimating the transition probability matrix in Markov chains and identifying significant relationships between transitions, such as equality.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yining Zhou , Ming Gao , Yiting Chen , Xiaoping Shi

We propose a quasi maximum likelihood estimation method for Bergomi-type stochastic volatility models with parametrized kernels, focusing on the estimation of the kernel parameters from high-frequency time-series observations of option…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Masaaki Fukasawa , Haruki Tomita

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka

We prove the quasi-optimal convergence of a standard adaptive finite element method (AFEM) for nonlinear elliptic second-order equations of monotone type. The adaptive algorithm is based on residual-type a posteriori error estimators and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Eduardo M. Garau , Pedro Morin , Carlos Zuppa

We study a new model-free algorithm to compute $\varepsilon$-optimal policies for average reward Markov decision processes, in the weakly communicating case. Given a generative model, our procedure combines a recursive sampling technique…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Jongmin Lee , Mario Bravo , Roberto Cominetti

We consider estimating the Shannon entropy of a discrete distribution $P$ from $n$ i.i.d. samples. Recently, Jiao, Venkat, Han, and Weissman, and Wu and Yang constructed approximation theoretic estimators that achieve the minimax $L_2$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

Atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) extracted from satellite imagery are the only wind observations with good global coverage. They are important features for feeding numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Several Bayesian models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Patrick Héas , Frédéric Cérou , Mathias Rousset

Statistical inference for discrete time observations of an affine stochastic delay differential equation is considered. The main focus is on maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators, which are easy to calculate in practice. A more general class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Uwe Küchler , Michael Sørensen

We consider a finite mixture of regressions (FMR) model for high-dimensional inhomogeneous data where the number of covariates may be much larger than sample size. We propose an l1-penalized maximum likelihood estimator in an appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann , Sara van de Geer

Extreme-value copulas arise as the limiting dependence structure of component-wise maxima. Defined in terms of a functional parameter, they are one of the most widespread copula families due to their flexibility and ability to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Javier Fernández Serrano

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

Maximum likelihood estimation problems are, in general, intractable optimization problems. As a result, it is common to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) using convex relaxations. In some cases, the relaxation is tight: it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Afonso S. Bandeira , Nicolas Boumal , Amit Singer

This paper introduces a new computational methodology for determining a-posteriori multi-objective error estimates for finite-element approximations, and for constructing corresponding (quasi-)optimal adaptive refinements of finite-element…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-23 E. H. van Brummelen , S. Zhuk , G. J. van Zwieten

We propose a functional accelerated failure time model to characterize effects of both functional and scalar covariates on the time to event of interest, and provide regularity conditions to guarantee model identifiability. For efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Changyu Liu , Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Xingqiu Zhao

Factor models are widely applied to the analysis of multivariate data across disparate fields of research. However, modern scientific data are often incomplete, and estimating a factor model from partially observed data can be very…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Giuseppe Vinci

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

For the estimation of cumulative link models for ordinal data, the bias-reducing adjusted score equations in \citet{firth:93} are obtained, whose solution ensures an estimator with smaller asymptotic bias than the maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

We explore the possibility of evaluating flow harmonics by employing the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). For a given finite multiplicity, the MLE simultaneously furnishes estimations for all the parameters of the underlying distribution…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-08-16 Chong Ye , Wei-Liang Qian , Rui-Hong Yue , Yogiro Hama , Takeshi Kodama

This paper develops a novel Bayesian approach for nonlinear regression with symmetric matrix predictors, often used to encode connectivity of different nodes. Unlike methods that vectorize matrices as predictors that result in a large…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Xiaomeng Ju , Hyung G. Park , Thaddeus Tarpey

Many modern statistical estimation problems are defined by three major components: a statistical model that postulates the dependence of an output variable on the input features; a loss function measuring the error between the observed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Ying Cui , Jong-Shi Pang , Bodhisattva Sen