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We present new M-estimators of the mean and variance of real valued random variables, based on PAC-Bayes bounds. We analyze the non-asymptotic minimax properties of the deviations of those estimators for sample distributions having either a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Olivier Catoni

We introduce the notions of sub Gaussian random variables in sub-linear expectation spaces. To avoid the problem caused by the existence of two different expectations, i.e., the upper expectation and the lower expectation, we divide the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Nyanga Honda Masasila , István Fazekas

We consider moderately trimmed sums of non-negative i.i.d. random variables. We show that for every distribution function there exists a proper moderate trimming such that for the trimmed sum a non-trivial strong law of large numbers holds.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Marc Kesseböhmer , Tanja Schindler

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

Let (RU_1, R U_2) be a given bivariate scale mixture random vector, with R>0 being independent of the bivariate random vector (U_1,U_2). In this paper we derive exact asymptotic expansions of the tail probability P{RU_1> x, RU_2> ax}, a \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva

For a random variable with a unimodal distribution and finite second moment Gau\ss \, (1823) proved a sharp bound on the probability of the random variable to be outside a symmetric interval around its mode. An alternative proof for it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Chris A. J. Klaassen

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

We derive exact results for gap probabilities, as well as densities of extreme eigenvalues for six complex random matrix ensembles of fundamental importance. These are Gauss-Wigner, Laguerre-Wishart, Cauchy-Lorentz (two variants),…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Santosh Kumar

Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} X_{i} \prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

In this article we introduce associative Look-Up Tables. With their help, pseudo sums are correctly determined. The set of limit distributions in a pseudo-summation scheme of i.i.d. random variables is described. Also, two special cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Ivan Alexeev , Ignat Melnikov , Artem Uglovski

Let $X$ be an $n\times n$ symmetric random matrix with independent but non-identically distributed entries. The deviation inequalities of the spectral norm of $X$ with Gaussian entries have been obtained by using the standard concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Guozheng Dai , Zhonggen Su , Hanchao Wang

Let X be the random variable that counts the number of triangles in the random graph G(n,p). We show that for some absolute constant c, the probability that X deviates from its expectation by at least \lambda \var(X)^{1/2} is at most…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-09-15 Guy Wolfovitz

In this paper, we analyze the set of all possible aggregate distributions of the sum of standard uniform random variables, a simply stated yet challenging problem in the literature of distributions with given margins. Our main results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Tiantian Mao , Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ together with a sequence of independent, identically distributed $X$-space valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$ and give a good estimate on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major

A random vector $X$ with representation $X=\sum_{j\geq0}A_jZ_j$ is considered. Here, $(Z_j)$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors and $(A_j)$ is a sequence of random matrices, `predictable' with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the joint upper and lower tail large deviations of the edge eigenvalues of an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$, in the regime of $p$ where the edge of the spectrum is no…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Sohom Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables (not necessarily identically distributed), and $\eta$ be a counting random variable independent of this sequence. We obtain sufficient conditions on…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Svetlana Danilenko , Simona Paškauskaitė , Jonas Šiaulys

Consider two random variables following Skellam distributions of parameters going to infinity linearly. We prove that the limit distribution of the first variable, conditionally on being equal to the second, is Gaussian.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 François Durand , Élie de Panafieu

We construct and analyze an estimator of association between random variables based on their similarity in both direction and magnitude. Under special conditions, the proposed measure becomes a robust and consistent estimator of the linear…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Ilya Archakov

Optimization objectives in the form of a sum of intractable expectations are rising in importance (e.g., diffusion models, variational autoencoders, and many more), a setting also known as "finite sum with infinite data." For these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Kyurae Kim , Joohwan Ko , Yi-An Ma , Jacob R. Gardner