English
Related papers

Related papers: Interval Forecasting of Electricity Demand: A Nove…

200 papers

Forecasting power consumptions of integrated electrical, heat or gas network systems is essential in order to operate more efficiently the whole energy network. Multi-energy systems are increasingly seen as a key component of future energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Corneliu Arsene , Alessandra Parisio

Objective: This work introduces a framework for multivariate time series analysis aimed at detecting and quantifying collective emerging behaviors in the dynamics of physiological networks. Methods: Given a network system mapped by a vector…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Luca Faes , Gorana Mijatovic , Laura Sparacino , Alberto Porta

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

In this paper we propose a time-varying parameter (TVP) vector error correction model (VECM) with heteroskedastic disturbances. We propose tools to carry out dynamic model specification in an automatic fashion. This involves using…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer , Luca Rossini

In this two-part article, we evaluate the utility and the generalizability of the Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) algorithm for data-driven analysis and reduced-order modelling of plasma dynamics in cross-field ExB configurations. The DMD…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2023-08-29 Farbod Faraji , Maryam Reza , Aaron Knoll , J. Nathan Kutz

We propose enforcing constraints on Model-Based Diffusion by introducing emerging barrier functions inspired by interior point methods. We demonstrate that the standard Model-Based Diffusion algorithm can lead to catastrophic performance…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Raghav Mishra , Ian R. Manchester

Modern deep-learning models have achieved remarkable success in time-series forecasting. Yet, their performance degrades in long-term prediction due to error accumulation in autoregressive inference, where predictions are recursively used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Minh Hoang Nguyen , Dai Do , Huu Hiep Nguyen , Dung Nguyen , Kien Do , Hung Le

Intermittency is a common and challenging problem in demand forecasting. We introduce a new, unified framework for building intermittent demand forecasting models, which incorporates and allows to generalize existing methods in several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Ali Caner Turkmen , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Ali Taylan Cemgil

Extended dynamic mode decomposition (EDMD) is a popular data-driven method to predict the action of the Koopman operator, i.e., the evolution of an observable function along the flow of a dynamical system. In this paper, we leverage a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Lea Bold , Manuel Schaller , Irene Schimperna , Karl Worthmann

While time-frequency analysis provides rich representations of multicomponent signals, current decomposition methods often overlook the morphological structure where components manifest as distinct regions. This study introduces…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-26 Wei Zhou , Wei-Jian Li , Desen Zhu , Hongbin Xu , Wei-Xin Ren

Beamforming is a key technology in millimeter-wave (mmWave) communications that improves signal transmission by optimizing directionality and intensity. However, conventional channel estimation methods, such as pilot signals or beam…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Yu Min Park , Yan Kyaw Tun , Eui-Nam Huh , Walid Saad , Choong Seon Hong

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is an unsupervised machine learning method that has attracted considerable attention in recent years owing to its equation-free structure, ability to easily identify coherent spatio-temporal structures in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Alex Viguerie , Gabriel F. Barros , Malú Grave , Alessandro Reali , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang

Probabilistic Manifold Decomposition (PMD)\cite{doi:10.1137/25M1738863}, developed in our earlier work, provides a nonlinear model reduction by embedding high-dimensional dynamics onto low-dimensional probabilistic manifolds. The PMD has…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Jiaming Guo , Dunhui Xiao

Link prediction in dynamic networks remains a fundamental challenge in network science, requiring the inference of potential interactions and their evolving strengths through spatiotemporal pattern analysis. Traditional static network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Qu Wang , Yan Xia

This work presents a hybrid and hierarchical deep learning model for mid-term load forecasting. The model combines exponential smoothing (ETS), advanced Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and ensembling. ETS extracts dynamically the main…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-02 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Slawek Smyl

The proposed method introduces a parameter determination approach based on the minimum Fractal box dimension (FBD) of Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) components, aiming to address the issue of manual determination of VMD decomposition…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-17 Pei Yuhang , Yu Min , Yu Yan

The transition to Electric Vehicles (EV) in place of traditional internal combustion engines is increasing societal demand for electricity. The ability to integrate the additional demand from EV charging into forecasting electricity demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Raiden Skala , Mohamed Ahmed T. A. Elgalhud , Katarina Grolinger , Syed Mir

Model order reduction (MOR) has long been a mainstream strategy to accelerate large-scale transient circuit simulation. Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) represents a novel data-driven characterization method, extracting dominant dynamical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-06 Na Liu , Chengliang Dai , Qiuyue Wu , Qiuqi Li , Guoxiong Cai

The rapid expansion of electric vehicles (EVs) has rendered the load forecasting of electric vehicle charging stations (EVCS) increasingly critical. The primary challenge in achieving precise load forecasting for EVCS lies in accounting for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-14 Zongbao Zhang , Jiao Hao , Wenmeng Zhao , Yan Liu , Yaohui Huang , Xinhang Luo