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This paper clarifies a fundamental difference between causal inference and traditional statistical inference by formalizing a mathematical distinction between their respective parameters. We connect two major approaches to causal inference,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Muye Liu , Jun Xie

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

This article develops, and describes how to use, results concerning disintegrations of Poisson random measures. These results are fashioned as simple tools that can be tailor-made to address inferential questions arising in a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James

We are interested in estimating the location of what we call "smooth change-point" from $n$ independent observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. The smooth change-point is a transition of the intensity function of the process from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-17 A. Amiri , S Dachian

This paper is concerned with estimation and inference for ultrahigh dimensional partially linear single-index models. The presence of high dimensional nuisance parameter and nuisance unknown function makes the estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Shijie Cui , Xu Guo , Zhe Zhang

We highlight that match fixed effects, represented by the coefficients of interaction terms involving dummy variables for two elements, lack identification without specific restrictions on parameters. Consequently, the coefficients…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-22 Suguru Otani , Tohya Sugano

We present a Bayesian perspective on quantifying the uncertainty of graph signals estimated or reconstructed from imperfect observations. We show that many conventional methods of graph signal estimation, reconstruction and imputation, can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Lennard Rompelberg , Michael T. Schaub

Modeling count data is important in physics and other scientific disciplines, where measurements often involve discrete, non-negative quantities such as photon or neutrino detection events. Traditional parametric approaches can be trained…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-10 Anushka Saha , Abhijith Gandrakota , Alexandre V. Morozov

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Consider a measure $\mu_\lambda = \sum_x \xi_x \delta_x$ where the sum is over points $x$ of a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda$ on a bounded region in $d$-space, and $\xi_x$ is a functional determined by the Poisson points near…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Mathew D. Penrose , Andrew R. Wade

Many parametric statistical models are not properly normalised and only specified up to an intractable partition function, which renders parameter estimation difficult. Examples of unnormalised models are Gibbs distributions, Markov random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-12 Ciwan Ceylan , Michael U. Gutmann

We provide adaptive inference methods, based on $\ell_1$ regularization, for regular (semi-parametric) and non-regular (nonparametric) linear functionals of the conditional expectation function. Examples of regular functionals include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney Newey , Rahul Singh

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

This paper establishes the global asymptotic equivalence between a Poisson process with variable intensity and white noise with drift under sharp smoothness conditions on the unknown function. This equivalence is also extended to density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lawrence D. Brown , Andrew V. Carter , Mark G. Low , Cun-Hui Zhang

We study the assessment of semiparametric and other highly-parametrised models from the perspective of foundational principles of parametric statistical inference. In doing so, we highlight the possibility of avoiding the usual…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Heather Battey , Nancy Reid

To model modern large-scale datasets, we need efficient algorithms to infer a set of $P$ unknown model parameters from $N$ noisy measurements. What are fundamental limits on the accuracy of parameter inference, given finite signal-to-noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-07 Madhu Advani , Surya Ganguli

We are motivated by problems that arise in a number of applications such as Online Marketing and explosives detection, where the observations are usually modeled using Poisson statistics. We model each observation as a Poisson random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 D. Motamedvaziri , M. H. Rohban , V. Saligrama

We study the normal approximation of functionals of Poisson measures having the form of a finite sum of multiple integrals. When the integrands are nonnegative, our results yield necessary and sufficient conditions for central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati

In this paper we show how nuisance parameter marginalized posteriors can be inferred directly from simulations in a likelihood-free setting, without having to jointly infer the higher-dimensional interesting and nuisance parameter posterior…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-17 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt

We develop a prior probability model for temporal Poisson process intensities through structured mixtures of Erlang densities with common scale parameter, mixing on the integer shape parameters. The mixture weights are constructed through…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Hyotae Kim , Athanasios Kottas