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Identifying anomalies and contamination in datasets is important in a wide variety of settings. In this paper, we describe a new technique for estimating contamination in large, discrete valued datasets. Our approach considers the normal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matthew L. Malloy , Scott Alfeld , Paul Barford

Shifting from traditional hazard-based food safety management toward risk-based management requires statistical methods for evaluating intermediate targets in food production, such as microbiological criteria (MC), in terms of their effects…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-06 Jukka Ranta , Roland Lindqvist , Ingrid Hansson , Pirkko Tuominen , Maarten Nauta

Dose-finding studies are frequently conducted to evaluate the effect of different doses or concentration levels of a compound on a response of interest. Applications include the investigation of a new medicinal drug, a herbicide or…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-01 Björn Bornkamp , Frank Bretz , Holger Dette , José Pinheiro

Representing uncertainty in causal discovery is a crucial component for experimental design, and more broadly, for safe and reliable causal decision making. Bayesian Causal Discovery (BCD) offers a principled approach to encapsulating this…

The analysis of environmental mixtures is of growing importance in environmental epidemiology, and one of the key goals in such analyses is to identify exposures and their interactions that are associated with adverse health outcomes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Srijata Samanta , Joseph Antonelli

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

To ensure agreement between theoretical calculations and experimental data, parameters to selected nuclear physics models, are perturbed, and fine-tuned in nuclear data evaluations. This approach assumes that the chosen set of models…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-02-23 E. Alhassan , D. Rochman , G. Schnabel , A. J. Koning

In most applications of model-based Markov decision processes, the parameters for the unknown underlying model are often estimated from the empirical data. Due to noise, the policy learnedfrom the estimated model is often far from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Samarth Gupta , Daniel N. Hill , Lexing Ying , Inderjit Dhillon

An essential component of therapeutic drug/biomarker monitoring (TDM) is to combine patient data with prior knowledge for model-based predictions of therapy outcomes. Current Bayesian forecasting tools typically rely only on the most…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-23 Corinna Maier , Niklas Hartung , Jana de Wiljes , Charlotte Kloft , Wilhelm Huisinga

Arsenic (As) and other toxic elements contamination of groundwater in Bangladesh poses a major threat to millions of people on a daily basis. Understanding complex relationships between arsenic and other elements can provide useful insights…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Indranil Sahoo , Arnab Hazra

Causal mediation analysis examines causal pathways linking exposures to disease. The estimation of interventional effects, which are mediation estimands that overcome certain identifiability problems of natural effects, has been advanced…

The vulnerability of machine learning-based malware detectors to adversarial attacks has prompted the need for robust solutions. Adversarial training is an effective method but is computationally expensive to scale up to large datasets and…

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

Measuring the impact of an environmental point source exposure on the risk of disease, like cancer or childhood asthma, is well-developed. Modeling how an environmental health hazard that is extensive in space, like a wastewater canal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Rob Trangucci , Jesse Contreras , Jon Zelner , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg , Yang Chen

In Oncology, trials evaluating drug combinations are becoming more common. While combination therapies bring the potential for greater efficacy, they also create unique challenges for ensuring drug safety. In Phase-I dose escalation trials…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-23 Lukas A. Widmer , Andrew Bean , David Ohlssen , Sebastian Weber

Frequentist statistical methods, such as hypothesis testing, are standard practice in papers that provide benchmark comparisons. Unfortunately, these methods have often been misused, e.g., without testing for their statistical test…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 David Issa Mattos , Jan Bosch , Helena Holmström Olsson

The normalized maximized likelihood (NML) provides the minimax regret solution in universal data compression, gambling, and prediction, and it plays an essential role in the minimum description length (MDL) method of statistical modeling…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-29 Andrew Barron , Teemu Roos , Kazuho Watanabe

Background: Mendelian randomization (MR) has been widely applied to causal inference in medical research. It uses genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) to investigate putative causal relationship between an exposure and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Linyi Zou , Hui Guo , Carlo Berzuini

Deep learning has been revolutionary for computer vision and semantic segmentation in particular, with Bayesian Deep Learning (BDL) used to obtain uncertainty maps from deep models when predicting semantic classes. This information is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Jishnu Mukhoti , Yarin Gal

For dynamic borrowing to leverage external data to augment the control arm of small RCTs, the key step is determining the amount of borrowing based on the similarity of the outcomes in the controls from the trial and the external data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-01 Jixian Wang , Ram Tiwari