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Probabilities may be subjective or objective; we are concerned with both kinds of probability, and the relationship between them. The fundamental theory of objective probability is quantum mechanics: it is argued that neither Bohr's…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Simon Saunders

We give an up-to-date perspective with a general overview of the theory of causal properties, the derived causal structures, their classification and applications, and the definition and construction of causal boundaries and of causal…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-08-16 Alfonso García-Parrado , José M. M. Senovilla

We announce a number of conjectures associated with and arising from a study of primes and irrationals in $\mathbb{R}$. All are supported by numerical verification to the extent possible.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-22 Angelo B. Mingarelli

We propose a new class of determinantal point processes (DPPs) which can be manipulated for inference and parameter learning in potentially sublinear time in the number of items. This class, based on a specific low-rank factorization of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-20 Christophe Dupuy , Francis Bach

We study the problem of sequentially predicting properties of a probabilistic model and its next outcome over an infinite horizon, with the goal of ensuring that the predictions incur only finitely many errors with probability 1. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Changlong Wu , Narayana Santhanam

The extremal characteristics of random structures, including trees, graphs, and networks, are discussed. A statistical physics approach is employed in which extremal properties are obtained through suitably defined rate equations. A variety…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

The deviation test belong to core tools in point process statistics, where hypotheses are typically tested considering differences between an empirical summary function and its expectation under the null hypothesis, which depend on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Mari Myllymäki , Pavel Grabarnik , Henri Seijo , Dietrich Stoyan

We present a framework to formally describe probabilistic system behavior and symbolically reason about it. In particular we aim at reasoning about possible failures and fault tolerance. We regard systems which are composed of different…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Jan Olaf Blech

In this paper we review some general properties of probability distributions which exibit a singular behavior. After introducing the matter with several examples based on various models of statistical mechanics, we discuss, with the help of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-25 Federico Corberi , Alessandro Sarracino

As well as arising naturally in the study of non-intersecting random paths, random spanning trees, and eigenvalues of random matrices, determinantal point processes (sometimes also called fermionic point processes) are relatively easy to…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-04 Steven N. Evans , Alex Gottlieb

The probabilistic explanation of the direct and reverse cohort component population projection methods is presented. The main characteristics determining the probability distribution of the values for the direct and reverse component…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Mariia Nosova

This is an introduction to measure theory, integration and function spaces, with all the needed preliminaries included, and with some applications included as well. We first discuss some basic motivations, coming from discrete probability,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-19 Teo Banica

We investigate determinants of random unitary pencils (with scalar or matrix coefficients), which generalize the characteristic polynomial of a single unitary matrix. In particular we examine moments of such determinants, obtained by…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Michael T. Jury , George Roman

We give a survey of the foundations of statistical queries and their many applications to other areas. We introduce the model, give the main definitions, and we explore the fundamental theory statistical queries and how how it connects to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Lev Reyzin

This paper deals with three major types of convergence of probability measures on metric spaces: weak convergence, setwise converges, and convergence in the total variation. First, it describes and compares necessary and sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

In this paper a randomized version of the Beverton-Holt type discrete model is proposed. Its solution stochastic process and the random steady state are determined. Its first probability density function and second probability density…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2019-01-23 J. -C. Cortés , A. Navarro-Quiles , J. -V. Romero , M. -D. Roselló

A general notion of algebraic conditional plausibility measures is defined. Probability measures, ranking functions, possibility measures, and (under the appropriate definitions) sets of probability measures can all be viewed as defining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern

To what extent can we distinguish one probability distribution from another? Are there quantitative measures of distinguishability? The goal of this tutorial is to approach such questions by introducing the notion of the "distance" between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-23 Ariel Caticha

Probabilities of causation are fundamental to individual-level explanation and decision making, yet they are inherently counterfactual and not point-identifiable from data in general. Existing bounds either disregard available covariates,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yuxuan Xie , Ang Li

This introduction to Bayesian statistics presents the main concepts as well as the principal reasons advocated in favour of a Bayesian modelling. We cover the various approaches to prior determination as well as the basis asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-09 Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau
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