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In the framework of time series analysis with recurrence networks, we introduce a self-adaptive method that determines the elusive recurrence threshold and identifies metastable states in complex real-world time series. As initial step, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-10-22 Iliusi Vega , Christof Schütte , Tim O. F. Conrad

This study in centered on models accounting for stochastic deformations of sample paths of random walks, embedded either in $\mathbb{Z}^2$ or in $\mathbb{Z}^3$. These models are immersed in multi-type particle systems with exclusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

The main contribution of the current study is two-fold. First, we investigate the energy landscape of the Ising and Potts models on finite two-dimensional lattices without external fields in the low temperature regime. The complete analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Seonwoo Kim , Insuk Seo

We study the asymptotic behaviour of Markov chains $(X_n,\eta_n)$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+ \times S$, where $\mathbb{Z}_+$ is the non-negative integers and $S$ is a finite set. Neither coordinate is assumed to be Markov. We assume a moments bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Nicholas Georgiou , Andrew R. Wade

The objective of this work is to study continuous-time Markov decision processes on a general Borel state space with both impulsive and continuous controls for the infinite-time horizon discounted cost. The continuous-time controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-17 François Dufour , Alexei Piunovskiy

In this article, we analyze three classes of time-reversal of a Markov process with Gaussian noise on a manifold. We first unveil a commutativity constraint for the most general of these time-reversals to be well defined. Then we give a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-09 Jérémy O'Byrne , Michael E. Cates

The first hitting times of a stochastic process, i.e., the first time a process reaches a particular level, are of significant interest across various scientific disciplines, including biology, chemistry, and economics. We modify the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-24 Bartosz Zbik , Bartłomiej Dybiec , Karol Capała , Zbigniew Palmowski , Igor M. Sokolov

We consider irreducible reversible discrete time Markov chains on a finite state space. Mixing times and hitting times are fundamental parameters of the chain. We relate them by showing that the mixing time of the lazy chain is equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-30 Yuval Peres , Perla Sousi

Reinforcement Learning Algorithms are predominantly developed for stationary environments, and the limited literature that considers nonstationary environments often involves specific assumptions about changes that can occur in transition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Ranga Shaarad Ayyagari , Revanth Raj Eega , Ambedkar Dukkipati

We link two phenomena concerning the asymptotical behavior of stochastic processes: (i) abrupt convergence or cut-off phenomenon, and (ii) the escape behavior usually associated to exit from metastability. The former is characterized by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Javiera Barrera , Olivier Bertoncini , Roberto Fernández

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

The probability that a max-stable process {\eta} in C[0, 1] with identical marginal distribution function F hits x \in R with 0 < F (x) < 1 is the hitting probability of x. We show that the hitting probability is always positive, unless the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-27 Martin Hofmann

We consider the hard-core model with Metropolis transition probabilities on finite grid graphs and investigate the asymptotic behavior of the first hitting time between its two maximum-occupancy configurations in the low-temperature regime.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Francesca R. Nardi , Alessandro Zocca , Sem C. Borst

We analyse the metastable behaviour of the dilute Curie-Weiss model subject to a Glauber dynamics. The model is a random version of a mean-field Ising model, where the coupling coefficients are Bernoulli random variables with mean $p\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-26 Anton Bovier , Saeda Marello , Elena Pulvirenti

In this paper, we study, in a nonlinear setting, the asymptotic behaviour of a generalized viscosity approximation method associated with a countable family of nonexpansive mappings satisfying resolvent-like conditions. We apply proof…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Paulo Firmino , Laurentiu Leustean

We study the contact process on the configuration model with a power law degree distribution, when the exponent is smaller than or equal to two. We prove that the extinction time grows exponentially fast with the size of the graph and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-20 Van Hao Can , Bruno Schapira

This article deals with stochastic processes endowed with the Markov (memoryless) property and evolving over general (uncountable) state spaces. The models further depend on a non-deterministic quantity in the form of a control input, which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-11 Sofie Haesaert , Robert Babuska , Alessandro Abate

In this paper, we focus on the hitting times of a stochastic epidemic model presented by \cite{Gray}. Under the help of the auxiliary stopping times, we investigate the asymptotic limits of the hitting times by the variations of calculus…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Qingshan Yang , Xuerong Mao

We introduce the concept of asymptotic period for an irreducible and aperiodic, discrete-time Markov chain X on a countable state space, and develop the theory leading to its formal definition. The asymptotic period of X equals one - its…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Erik A. van Doorn

We study the metastable behavior of diffusion processes in narrow tube domains, where the metastability is induced by entropic barriers. We identify a sequence of characteristic time scales $\{T_\epsilon^i\}_{1 \leq i \leq \abs{V'}}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Wen-Tai Hsu
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