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Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) is a flexible and effective variance reduction technique for accelerating reliability assessments of complex power system. Recently, data-driven surrogate models have been proposed as lower-level models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Ruiqi Zhang , Simon H. Tindemans

Stochastic optimization in learning and inference often relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to approximate gradients when exact computation is intractable. However, finite-time MCMC estimators are biased, and reducing this bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Gabriel Lang , Sylvain Le Corff , Julien Stoehr , Sobihan Surendran

We study the weak convergence behaviour of the Leimkuhler--Matthews method, a non-Markovian Euler-type scheme with the same computational cost as the Euler scheme, for the approximation of the stationary distribution of a one-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Xingyuan Chen , Goncalo dos Reis , Wolfgang Stockinger , Zac Wilde

Monte Carlo is a simple and flexible tool that is widely used in computational finance. In this context, it is common for the quantity of interest to be the expected value of a random variable defined via a stochastic differential equation.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Desmond J. Higham

The trace of a matrix function f(A), most notably of the matrix inverse, can be estimated stochastically using samples< x,f(A)x> if the components of the random vectors x obey an appropriate probability distribution. However such a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Andreas Frommer , Mostafa Nasr Khalil , Gustavo Ramirez-Hidalgo

We present a new antithetic multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the estimation of expectations with respect to laws of diffusion processes that can be elliptic or hypo-elliptic. In particular, we consider the case where one has to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Yuga Iguchi , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Alexandros Beskos

Designing efficient learning algorithms with complexity guarantees for Markov decision processes (MDPs) with large or continuous state and action spaces remains a fundamental challenge. We address this challenge for entropy-regularized MDPs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Matthieu Meunier , Christoph Reisinger , Yufei Zhang

We introduce three related but distinct improvements to multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for the solution of systems of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Firstly, we show that when the payoff function is twice continuously…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-09-10 L. F. Ricketson

In this paper we propose a general framework for the uncertainty quantification of quantities of interest for high-contrast single-phase flow problems. It is based on the generalized multiscale finite element method (GMsFEM) and multilevel…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Yalchin Efendiev , Bangti Jin , Michael Presho , Xiaosi Tan

In this article we develop a multi-grid multi-level Monte Carlo (MGMLMC) method for the stochastic Stokes-Darcy interface model with random hydraulic conductivity both in the porous media domain and on the interface. Because the randomness…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Zhipeng Yang , Xiaoming He , Li Zhang , Ju Ming

In this paper, we investigate the use of multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for estimating the expectation of discretized random fields. Specifically, we consider a setting in which the input and output vectors of numerical simulators…

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

We formulate gradient-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling as optimization on the space of probability measures, with Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as the objective functional. We show that an underdamped form of the Langevin…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-23 Yi-An Ma , Niladri Chatterji , Xiang Cheng , Nicolas Flammarion , Peter Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

Markov chain Monte Calro methods (MCMC) are commonly used in Bayesian statistics. In the last twenty years, many results have been established for the calculation of the exact convergence rate of MCMC methods. We introduce another rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-17 Kengo Kamatani

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for continuous-time Markov chains, first introduced by Anderson and Higham (SIAM Multiscal Model. Simul. 10(1), 2012), is a highly efficient simulation technique that can be used to estimate various…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raul Tempone

Since its formulation in the late 1940s, the Feynman-Kac formula has proven to be an effective tool for both theoretical reformulations and practical simulations of differential equations. The link it establishes between such equations and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Stefan Pauli , Robert Gantner , Peter Arbenz , Andreas Adelmann

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the uncertainty quantification of variably saturated porous media flow that are modeled using the Richards' equation. We propose a stochastic extension for the empirical models that are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Prashant Kumar , Carmen Rodrigo , Francisco J. Gaspar , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

This paper concerns the numerical approximation for the invariant distribution of Markovian switching L\'evy-driven stochastic differential equations. By combining the tamed-adaptive Euler-Maruyama scheme with the Multi-level Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Hoang-Viet Nguyen , Trung-Thuy Kieu , Duc-Trong Luong , Hoang-Long Ngo , Tran Ngoc Khue