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Markov switching models are a popular family of models that introduces time-variation in the parameters in the form of their state- or regime-specific values. Importantly, this time-variation is governed by a discrete-valued latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Yong Song , Tomasz Woźniak

A discrete time stochastic model for a multiagent system given in terms of a large collection of interacting Markov chains is studied. The evolution of the interacting particles is described through a time inhomogeneous transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Del Moral , Sylvain Rubenthaler

In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic population models based on "patch dynamics". The size of the patch may be varied, and this allows one to quantify the departures of these stochastic models from various mean field theories,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 A. J. McKane , T. J. Newman

We study very simple sorting algorithms based on a probabilistic comparator model. In our model, errors in comparing two elements are due to (1) the energy or effort put in the comparison and (2) the difference between the compared…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Barbara Geissmann , Paolo Penna

We consider the fluctuations of a time-integrated particle current around an atypical value in a generic stochastic Markov process involving classical particles with two-site interaction and hardcore repulsion on a finite one-dimensional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-20 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

We study a system whose dynamics are governed by predictions of its future states. A general formalism and concrete examples are presented. We find that the dynamical characteristics depend on how to shape the predictions as well as on how…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Toru Ohira

Many complex systems can be described by population models, in which a pool of agents interacts and produces complex collective behaviours. We consider the problem of verifying formal properties of the underlying mathematical representation…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Luca Bortolussi , Roberta Lanciani , Laura Nenzi

In this paper, we establish a general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control for systems described by a continuous-time Markov regime-switching stochastic recursive utilities model. The control domain is postulated not to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Liangquan Zhang , Xun Li

In this paper, we consider the replicator-mutator dynamics for pairwise social dilemmas where the payoff entries are random variables. The randomness is incorporated to take into account the uncertainty, which is inevitable in practical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-30 L. Chen , C. Deng , M. H. Duong , T. A. Han

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

Phase variation, or stochastic switching between alternative states of gene expression, is common among microbes, and may be important in coping with changing environments. We use a theoretical model to assess whether such switching is a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-13 Paolo Visco , Rosalind J. Allen , Satya N. Majumdar , Martin R. Evans

In this paper, we study pinning control problem of coupled dynamical systems with stochastically switching couplings and stochastically selected controller-node set. Here, the coupling matrices and the controller-node sets change with time,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Yujuan Han , Wenlian Lu , Zhe Li , Tianping Chen

Building upon the eco-evolutionary game dynamics framework established by Tilman et al., we investigate stochastic fluctuations in a two-strategy system incorporating environmental feedback mechanisms, where the payoff matrix exhibits…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-01 Chao Wang , Minlan Li , Chang Liu

We study a variant of Hanski's incidence function model that allows habitat patch characteristics to vary over time following a Markov process. The widely studied case where patches are classified as either suitable or unsuitable is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , Y. S. Chan

People tend to align their use of language to the linguistic behaviour of their own ingroup and to simultaneously diverge from the language use of outgroups. This paper proposes to model this phenomenon of sociolinguistic identity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-25 Henri Kauhanen

Spatial birth-and-death processes with a finite number of particles are obtained as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Conditions are given for existence and uniqueness of such solutions, as well as for continuous dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Viktor Bezborodov

Based on the theory of stochastic chemical kinetics, the inherent randomness and stochasticity of biochemical reaction networks can be accurately described by discrete-state continuous-time Markov chains. The analysis of such processes is,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Andreychenko Alexander , Mikeev Linar , Wolf Verena

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We study the Metropolis dynamics of the simplest mean-field spin glass model, the Random Energy Model. We show that this dynamics exhibits aging by showing that the properly rescaled time change process between the Metropolis dynamics and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Jiří Černý , Tobias Wassmer

We study the large-time behavior of an ensemble of entities obeying replicator-like stochastic dynamics with mean-field interactions as a model for a primordial ecology. We prove the propagation-of-chaos property and establish conditions…