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Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

Deep neural networks are revolutionizing the way complex systems are developed. However, these automatically-generated networks are opaque to humans, making it difficult to reason about them and guarantee their correctness. Here, we propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Yuval Jacoby , Clark Barrett , Guy Katz

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been used to describe the dependence within and across multiple time series. This is a model for stationary time series which can be extended to allow the presence of a deterministic trend in each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Xixi Li , Jingsong Yuan

Identifying network Granger causality in large vector autoregressive (VAR) models enhances explanatory power by capturing complex dependencies among variables. This study proposes a methodology that explores latent community structures to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Younghoon Kim , Changryong Baek

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

The Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is a powerful framework for learning probabilistic latent variable generative models. However, typical assumptions on the approximate posterior distribution of the encoder and/or the prior, seriously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou , Elan Rosenfeld , Artur Dubrawski

In this paper, we address the fundamental problem of line spectral estimation in a Bayesian framework. We target model order and parameter estimation via variational inference in a probabilistic model in which the frequencies are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Mihai-Alin Badiu , Thomas Lundgaard Hansen , Bernard Henri Fleury

Unsupervised structure learning in high-dimensional time series data has attracted a lot of research interests. For example, segmenting and labelling high dimensional time series can be helpful in behavior understanding and medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Hao Liu , Haoli Bai , Lirong He , Zenglin Xu

Recent studies have explored the use of deep generative models of speech spectra based of variational autoencoders (VAEs), combined with unsupervised noise models, to perform speech enhancement. These studies developed iterative algorithms…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Manuel Pariente , Antoine Deleforge , Emmanuel Vincent

Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

Representation learning over graph structure data has been widely studied due to its wide application prospects. However, previous methods mainly focus on static graphs while many real-world graphs evolve over time. Modeling such evolution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-02 Tijin Yan , Hongwei Zhang , Zirui Li , Yuanqing Xia

When a missing process depends on the missing values themselves, it needs to be explicitly modelled and taken into account while doing likelihood-based inference. We present an approach for building and fitting deep latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Niels Bruun Ipsen , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

Real-world time series data exhibit non-stationary behavior, regime shifts, and temporally varying noise (heteroscedastic) that degrade the robustness of standard regression models. We introduce the Variability-Aware Recursive Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Haroon Gharwi , Kai Shu

Deep neural networks with discrete latent variables offer the promise of better symbolic reasoning, and learning abstractions that are more useful to new tasks. There has been a surge in interest in discrete latent variable models, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Aurko Roy , Ashish Vaswani , Arvind Neelakantan , Niki Parmar

The Variational Autoencoder (VAE) has proven to be an effective model for producing semantically meaningful latent representations for natural data. However, it has thus far seen limited application to sequential data, and, as we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Adam Roberts , Jesse Engel , Colin Raffel , Curtis Hawthorne , Douglas Eck

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

Multi-view data from the same source often exhibit correlation. This is mirrored in correlation between the latent spaces of separate variational autoencoders (VAEs) trained on each data-view. A multi-view VAE approach is proposed that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-01 Ella S. C. Orme , Marina Evangelou , Ulrich Paquet

This paper introduces novel deep dynamical models designed to represent continuous-time sequences. Our approach employs a neural emission model to generate each data point in the time series through a non-linear transformation of a latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Sheng Cheng , Deqian Kong , Jianwen Xie , Kookjin Lee , Ying Nian Wu , Yezhou Yang

As an extension of variational autoencoder (VAE), complex VAE uses complex Gaussian distributions to model latent variables and data. This work proposes a complex recurrent VAE framework, specifically in which complex-valued recurrent…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Yuying Xie , Thomas Arildsen , Zheng-Hua Tan

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri