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We develop a probabilistic machine learning method, which formulates a class of stochastic neural networks by a stochastic optimal control problem. An efficient stochastic gradient descent algorithm is introduced under the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Richard Archibald , Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , He Zhang

The inference of Neural Networks is usually restricted by the resources (e.g., computing power, memory, bandwidth) on edge devices. In addition to improving the hardware design and deploying efficient models, it is possible to aggregate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Jun-Liang Lin , Sheng-De Wang

We study how the training data distribution affects confidence and performance in image classification models. We introduce Embedding Density, a model-agnostic framework that estimates prediction confidence by measuring the distance of test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Maksim Kazanskii , Artem Kasianov

Autoregressive models are a class of generative model that probabilistically predict the next output of a sequence based on previous inputs. The autoregressive sequence is by definition one-dimensional (1D), which is natural for language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Yi Hong Teoh , Roger G. Melko

The paper develops a general flexible framework for Network Autoregressive Processes (NAR), wherein the response of each node linearly depends on its past values, a prespecified linear combination of neighboring nodes and a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-20 Hang Yin , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Inference models are a key component in scaling variational inference to deep latent variable models, most notably as encoder networks in variational auto-encoders (VAEs). By replacing conventional optimization-based inference with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Joseph Marino , Yisong Yue , Stephan Mandt

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is one of the most widely used nonparametric density estimation methods. The fact that it is a memory-based method, i.e., it uses the entire training data set for prediction, makes it unsuitable for most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Joseph A. Gallego , Juan F. Osorio , Fabio A. González

Purpose: We propose a novel method for continual learning based on the increasing depth of neural networks. This work explores whether extending neural network depth may be beneficial in a life-long learning setting. Methods: We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Jędrzej Kozal , Michał Woźniak

Autoregressive (AR) models have been the dominating approach to conditional sequence generation, but are suffering from the issue of high inference latency. Non-autoregressive (NAR) models have been recently proposed to reduce the latency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Zhiqing Sun , Yiming Yang

The inverse problem of supervised reconstruction of depth-variable (time-dependent) parameters in a neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) is considered, that means finding the weights of a residual network with time continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 George Baravdish , Gabriel Eilertsen , Rym Jaroudi , B. Tomas Johansson , Lukáš Malý , Jonas Unger

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are powerful black-box predictors that have achieved impressive performance on a wide variety of tasks. However, their accuracy comes at the cost of intelligibility: it is usually unclear how they make their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Rishabh Agarwal , Levi Melnick , Nicholas Frosst , Xuezhou Zhang , Ben Lengerich , Rich Caruana , Geoffrey Hinton

Deep neural networks have achieved substantial achievements in several computer vision areas, but have vulnerabilities that are often fooled by adversarial examples that are not recognized by humans. This is an important issue for security…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Hakmin Lee , Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Yong Man Ro

We propose a novel method for density estimation that leverages an estimated score function to debias kernel density estimation (SD-KDE). In our approach, each data point is adjusted by taking a single step along the score function with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Elliot L. Epstein , Rajat Dwaraknath , Thanawat Sornwanee , John Winnicki , Jerry Weihong Liu

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

In this paper we propose a new method of estimation for discrete choice demand models when individual level data are available. The method employs a two-step procedure. Step 1 predicts the choice probabilities as functions of the observed…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-19 Nick Doudchenko , Evgeni Drynkin

Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) enables rapid parameter inference for complex simulators with intractable likelihoods. NPE trains an inference network to estimate a probability density over parameters given data, typically assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jan Boelts , Cornelius Schröder , Jonas Beck , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler , Daniel Gedon

In this paper we develop a kernel density estimation (KDE) approach to modeling and forecasting recurrent trajectories on a compact manifold. For the purposes of this paper, a trajectory is a sequence of coordinates in a phase space defined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Trevor K. Karn , Steven Petrone , Christopher Griffin

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a promising Bayesian inference framework that alleviates the need for analytic likelihoods to estimate posterior distributions. Recent advances using neural density estimators in SBI algorithms have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Justine Zeghal , François Lanusse , Alexandre Boucaud , Benjamin Remy , Eric Aubourg

Aiming at improving the performance of existing detection algorithms developed for different applications, we propose a region regression-based multi-stage class-agnostic detection pipeline, whereby the existing algorithms are employed for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Wei Li , Matthias Breier , Dorit Merhof
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