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Data scientists frequently train predictive models on administrative data. However, the process that generates this data can bias predictive models, making it important to test models against their intended use. We provide a field…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-18 Peter C. Casey , Kevin H. Wilson , David Yokum

Estimating the probability of failures or accidents with aerospace systems is often necessary when new concepts or designs are introduced, as it is being done for Autonomous Aircraft. If the design is safe, as it is supposed to be, accident…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-10 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Jeffery Musiak

We present new planning and learning algorithms for RAE, the Refinement Acting Engine. RAE uses hierarchical operational models to perform tasks in dynamically changing environments. Our planning procedure, UPOM, does a UCT-like search in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Sunandita Patra , James Mason , Amit Kumar , Malik Ghallab , Paolo Traverso , Dana Nau

We study a novel variant of the parameterized bandits problem in which the learner can observe additional auxiliary feedback that is correlated with the observed reward. The auxiliary feedback is readily available in many real-life…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Arun Verma , Zhongxiang Dai , Yao Shu , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

Sensing and Perception (S&P) is a crucial component of an autonomous system (such as a robot), especially when deployed in highly dynamic environments where it is required to react to unexpected situations. This is particularly true in case…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Andrea Piazzoni , Jim Cherian , Martin Slavik , Justin Dauwels

Clinical researchers often select among and evaluate risk prediction models using standard machine learning metrics based on confusion matrices. However, if these models are used to allocate interventions to patients, standard metrics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-03 Alejandro Schuler , Aashish Bhardwaj , Vincent Liu

Design and control of autonomous systems that operate in uncertain or adversarial environments can be facilitated by formal modelling and analysis. Probabilistic model checking is a technique to automatically verify, for a given temporal…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Marta Kwiatkowska , Gethin Norman , David Parker

Indices of acceptability are well suited to frame the axiomatic features of many performance measures, associated to terminal random cash flows.We extend this notion to classes of c\`adl\`ag processes modelling cash flows over a fixed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Christos E. Kountzakis , Damiano Rossello

A semi-supervised model of peer review is introduced that is intended to overcome the bias and incompleteness of traditional peer review. Traditional approaches are reliant on human biases, while consensus decision-making is constrained by…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Bradly Alicea

Explaining how to get from A to B can be challenging. It requires mentally simulating what the listener will do based on what they are told. To capture this process, we propose a computational model that converts utterances into action…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hanqi Zhou , Britt Besch , Charley M. Wu , Tobias Gerstenberg

Load balancing across a networked environment is a monotonous job. Moreover, if the job to be distributed is a constraint satisfying one, the distribution of load demands core intelligence. This paper proposes parallel processing through…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-31 M. Shahriar Hossain , M. Muztaba Fuad , Md. Mahbubul Alam Joarder

This paper provides a formalism for an important class of causal inference problems inspired by user-advertiser interaction in online advertiser. Then this formalism is specialized to an extension of temporal marked point processes and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Alexander Merkov , David Rohde

A growing trend for information technology is to not just react to changes, but anticipate them as much as possible. This paradigm made modern solutions, such as recommendation systems, a ubiquitous presence in today's digital transactions.…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-04-12 Nicola Bui , Matteo Cesana , S. Amir Hosseini , Qi Liao , Ilaria Malanchini , Joerg Widmer

Recent years have witnessed an increased focus on interpretability and the use of machine learning to inform policy analysis and decision making. This paper applies machine learning to examine travel behavior and, in particular, on modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Xilei Zhao , Xiang Yan , Pascal Van Hentenryck

It has been for a long time to use big data of autonomous vehicles for perception, prediction, planning, and control of driving. Naturally, it is increasingly questioned why not using this big data for risk management and actuarial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-16 Jiamin Yu

We are interested in the problem of multiagent systems development for risk detecting and emergency response in an uncertain and partially perceived environment. The evaluation of the current situation passes by three stages inside the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Fahem Kebair , Frédéric Serin , Cyrille Bertelle

We propose an AutoML system that enables model selection on clustering problems by leveraging optimal transport-based dataset similarity. Our objective is to establish a comprehensive AutoML pipeline for clustering problems and provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Prabhant Singh , Pieter Gijsbers , Murat Onur Yildirim , Elif Ceren Gok , Joaquin Vanschoren

This project considers Capsule Networks, a recently introduced machine learning model that has shown promising results regarding generalization and preservation of spatial information with few parameters. The Capsule Network's inner routing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Gonçalo Faria

Decision makers often need to rely on imperfect probabilistic forecasts. While average performance metrics are typically available, it is difficult to assess the quality of individual forecasts and the corresponding utilities. To convey…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Shengjia Zhao , Stefano Ermon

The identification of similar patient pathways is a crucial task in healthcare analytics. A flexible tool to address this issue are parametric competing risks models, where transition intensities may be specified by a variety of parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Kathrin Möllenhoff , Nadine Binder , Holger Dette
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