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We show that nonequilibrium dynamics can play a constructive role in unsupervised machine learning by inducing the spontaneous emergence of latent-state cycles. We introduce a model in which visible and hidden variables interact through two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-05 Marco Baiesi , Alberto Rosso

Integration Adapters are a fundamental part of an integration system, since they provide (business) applications access to its messaging channel. However, their modeling and configuration remain under-represented. In previous work, the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-03-09 Daniel Ritter , Manuel Holzleitner

We consider a novel, analytical queuing model for vehicle coordination at signal-free intersections. Vehicles arrive at an intersection according to Poisson processes, and the crossing times are constants dependent of vehicle types. We use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Hanwen Dai , Li Jin

This paper studies a service system in which arriving customers are provided with information about the delay they will experience. Based on this information they decide to wait for service or to leave the system. Specifically, every…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Yoshiaki Inoue , Liron Ravner , Michel Mandjes

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Many important stochastic counting models can be written as general birth-death processes (BDPs). BDPs are continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers and can be used to easily parameterize a rich variety of probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

We consider Markovian multiserver retrial queues where a blocked customer has two opportunities for abandonment: at the moment of blocking or at the departure epoch from the orbit. In this queueing system, the number of customers in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Tuan Phung-Duc

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

This paper presents a systematic observer design methodology for a class of port-Hamiltonian (pH) systems with state-dependent input matrices. Such systems can model a wide range of electromechanical systems, including magnetic levitation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Filippo Ugolini , Ning Liu , Yongxin Wu , Yann Le Gorrec , Alessandro Macchelli

This paper presents a simulation-based framework for sequential inference from partially and discretely observed point process (PP's) models with static parameters. Taking on a Bayesian perspective for the static parameters, we build upon…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 James S. Martin , Ajay Jasra , Emma McCoy

We propose a unified approach to establishing diffusion approximations for queues with impatient customers within a general framework of scaling customer patience time. The approach consists of two steps. The first step is to show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Junfei Huang , Hanqin Zhang , Jiheng Zhang

While single-purchase choice models have been widely studied in assortment optimization, customers in modern retail and e-commerce environments often purchase multiple items across distinct product categories, exhibiting both substitution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Omar El Housni , Shuo Sun , Rajan Udwani

Under many circumstances many soft and hard materials are present in a puzzling wealth of non-equilibrium amorphous states, whose properties are not stationary and depend on preparation. They are often summarized in unconventional "phase…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-04-20 Jesús Benigno Zepeda-López , Magdaleno Medina-Noyola

In this paper, we introduce a nonlinear stochastic model to describe the propagation of information inside a computer processor. In this model, a computational task is divided into stages, and information can flow from one stage to another.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mohammad Daneshvar , Richard C. Barnard , Cory Hauck , Ilya Timofeyev

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

We present a general theory of series-parallel mental architectures with selectively influenced stochastically non-independent components. A mental architecture is a hypothetical network of processes aimed at performing a task, of which we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Ru Zhang , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

Spiking activity in cortical networks is nonlinear in nature. The linear-nonlinear cascade model, some versions of which are also known as point-process generalized linear model, can efficiently capture the nonlinear dynamics exhibited by…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-16 Michael Kordovan , Stefan Rotter

Phase-transition phenomena in deep learning (grokking, emergent capabilities, and ontological reorganization under context shift) have been studied through several lenses, including representational compression, singular learning theory,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Truong Xuan Khanh

Classical approaches to experimental design assume that intervening on one unit does not affect other units. There are many important settings, however, where this non-interference assumption does not hold, as when running experiments on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Stefan Wager , Kuang Xu