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Linear regression is a fundamental and popular statistical method. There are various kinds of linear regression, such as mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a new one called distribution regression, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Xin Chen , Xuejun Ma , Wang Zhou

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

In this paper, we propose a market model with returns assumed to follow a multivariate normal tempered stable distribution defined by a mixture of the multivariate normal distribution and the tempered stable subordinator. This distribution…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Young Shin Kim

Any optimization algorithm based on the risk parity approach requires the formulation of portfolio total risk in terms of marginal contributions. In this paper we use the independence of the underlying factors in the market to derive the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-30 Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

This paper introduces a new distribution to improve tail risk modeling. Based on the classical normal distribution, we define a new distribution by a series of heat equations. Then, we use market data to verify our model.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Xiaolin Gong , Shuzhen Yang

A definition for elliptical tempered stable distribution, based on the characteristic function, have been explained which involve a unique spectral measure. This definition provides a framework for creating a connection between infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-18 Hassan A. Fallahgoul , Young S. Kim

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

This paper introduces a new parsimonious structure for mixture of autoregressive models. the weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables, following a hidden Markov model. We propose a dynamic programming algorithm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 S. H. Alizadeh , S. Rezakhah

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

In this article, we first obtain, for the Kolmogorov distance, an error bound between a tempered stable and a compound Poisson distribution and also an error bound between a tempered stable and an alpha stable distribution via Stein method.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Kalyan Burman , Neelesh S Upadhye , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

A random variable is equi-dispersed if its mean equals its variance. A Poisson distribution is a classical example of this phenomenon. However, a less well-known fact is that the class of normal densities that are equi-dispersed constitutes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Barry C. Arnold , B. G. Manjunath

In this paper, we introduce a new three-parameter distribution based on the combination of re-parametrization of the so-called EGNB2 and transmuted exponential distributions. This combination aims to modify the transmuted exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Christophe Chesneau , Hassan S. Bakouch , Muhammad Nauman Khan

In this paper, we propose cylindrical distributions obtained by combining the sine-skewed von Mises distribution (circular part) with the Weibull distribution (linear part). This new model, the WeiSSVM, enjoys numerous advantages: simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Toshihiro Abe , Christophe Ley

In this article, we study the mixing properties of metastable diffusion processes which possess a Gibbs invariant distribution. For systems with multiple stable equilibria, so-called metastable transitions between these equilibria are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Jungkyoung Lee

In this paper the running average of a subordinator with a tempered stable distribution is considered. We investigate a family of previously unexplored infinite-activity subordinators induced by the probability distribution of the running…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Weixuan Xia

In this note we discuss additional properties of mixed Poisson distributions. We discuss the convergence of mixed Poisson distributions to its mixing distribution for the scaling parameter tending to infinity. Moreover, we obtain a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Markus Kuba

Heavy rainfall distributional modeling is essential in any impact studies linked to the water cycle, e.g.\ flood risks. Still, statistical analyses that both take into account the temporal and multivariate nature of extreme rainfall are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Gloria Buriticá , Philippe Naveau

$\alpha$-stable distributions are utilised as models for heavy-tailed noise in many areas of statistics, finance and signal processing engineering. However, in general, neither univariate nor multivariate $\alpha$-stable models admit closed…

Computation · Statistics 2009-12-24 G. W. Peters , S. A. Sisson , Y. Fan

In this paper, we first propose a new extended mixture model of residual lifetime distributions. We show that this model is suitable in modeling residual lifetime in some practical situations. Several closure properties of some well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-31 M. Kayid , S. Izadkhah