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Non-parametric and distribution-free two-sample tests have been the foundation of many change point detection algorithms. However, randomness in the test statistic as a function of time makes them susceptible to false positives and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-29 Kevin C. Cheng , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes , Shuchin Aeron

In this paper we build on an approach proposed by Zou et al. (2014) for nonpara- metric changepoint detection. This approach defines the best segmentation for a data set as the one which minimises a penalised cost function, with the cost…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-04 Kaylea Haynes , Paul Fearnhead , Idris A. Eckley

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

We propose new methods for detecting multiple change points in time series, specifically designed for random walk processes, where stationarity and variance changes present challenges. Our approach combines two trend estimation methods: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Xiyuan Liu

We propose a new framework for the detection of change-points in online, sequential data analysis. The approach utilizes nearest neighbor information and can be applied to sequences of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Hao Chen

A novel approach to quantile estimation in multivariate linear regression models with change-points is proposed: the change-point detection and the model estimation are both performed automatically, by adopting either the quantile fused…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matus Maciak

We study a statistical procedure based on higher criticism (HC) to address the sparse multi-stream quickest change-point detection problem. Namely, we aim to detect a potential change in the distribution of multiple data streams at some…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Tingnan Gong , Alon Kipnis , Yao Xie

We study multiple change-points detection using multi-samples tests based on U-statistics for absolutely regular observations. Our results extend those of Ngatchou-Wandji et al. (2022) concerned with the study of one single changepoint. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji , Echarif Elharfaoui , Michel Harel

Detecting changes is of fundamental importance when analyzing data streams and has many applications, e.g., in predictive maintenance, fraud detection, or medicine. A principled approach to detect changes is to compare the distributions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Florian Kalinke , Marco Heyden , Georg Gntuni , Edouard Fouché , Klemens Böhm

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

This paper considers the constrained sampling multi-stream quickest change detection problem, also known as the bandit quickest change detection problem. One stream contains a change-point that shifts its mean by an unknown amount. The goal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-30 Joshua Kartzman , Calvin Hawkins , Matthew Hale

Change-point detection has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications, including epidemic disease outbreaks, social network evolution, image analysis, and wireless communications. In an online setting, where new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-26 Zihan Wang

In this work, we develop and compare two innovative strategies for parameter estimation and radar detection of multiple point-like targets. The first strategy, which appears here for the first time, jointly exploits the maximum likelihood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Pia Addabbo , Jun Liu , Danilo Orlando , Giuseppe Ricci

Distributed parameter identification for large-scale multi-agent networks encounters challenges due to nonlinear dynamics and partial observations. Simultaneously, ensuring the stability is crucial for the robust identification of dynamic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Chunhui Li , Chengpu Yu

We examine rules for predicting whether a point in $\mathbb{R}$ generated from a 50-50 mixture of two different probability distributions came from one distribution or the other, given limited (or no) information on the two distributions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Kevin Bleakley

In this paper we develop a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of the mixing distribution of the parameters of a linear stochastic dynamical system. This includes, for example, pharmacokinetic population models with process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Alona Kryshchenko , Alan Schumitzky , Mike van Guilder , Michael Neely

Binary segmentation, which is sequential in nature is thus far the most widely used method for identifying multiple change points in statistical models. Here we propose a top down methodology called arbitrary segmentation that proceeds in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Heng Lian