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We propose new concentration inequalities for self-normalized martingales. The main idea is to introduce a suitable weighted sum of the predictable quadratic variation and the total quadratic variation of the martingale. It offers much more…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Bernard Bercu , Taieb Touati

We consider a nearly Gaussian random variable $X$ (see \cite{Lefebvre}) that, after a power transformation, the variable $X^c$ where $c=\{(2k+1)/(2j+1)\}$, $k,j=\{0,1,\dots\}$, is approximately Gaussian. This transformation is useful to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-02 Rui Gonçalves

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles, of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator of the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Djabrane Yahia

A novel multinomial theorem for commutative idempotents is shown to lead to new results about the moments, central moments, factorial moments, and their generating functions for any random variable $X = \sum_{i} Y_i $ expressible as a sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Pavel Shuldiner , R. W. Oldford

Several proofs of the monotonicity of the non-Gaussianness (divergence with respect to a Gaussian random variable with identical second order statistics) of the sum of n independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables were…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Jacob Binia

This article presents a new proof of the rate of convergence to the normal distribution of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables in chi-square distance, which was also recently studied in \cite{BobkovRenyi}. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Claire Delplancke , Laurent Miclo

Calculation of the distribution of the average value of a Gaussian random field in a finite domain is carried out for different cases. The results of the calculation demonstrate a strong dependence of the width of the distribution on the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 S. V. Novikov , M. Van der Auweraer

We study the accuracy of a scaled Poisson approximation to the weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, focusing on in particular the relative error of the tail distribution. A bound on the relative approximation error is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Yue Tan , Yingdong Lu , Cathy Xia

Stein's method is used to approximate sums of discrete and locally dependent random variables by a centered and symmetric Binomial distribution. Under appropriate smoothness properties of the summands, the same order of accuracy as in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Adrian Röllin

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

Let $\BS_1,...,\BS_n$ be independent identically distributed random variables each having the standardized Bernoulli distribution with parameter $p\in(0,1)$. Let $m_*(p):=(1+p+2p^2)/(2\sqrt{p-p^2}+4p^2)$ if $0<p\le 1/2$ and $m_*(p):=1$ if…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-23 Iosif Pinelis

We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein

Large deviation inequalities for ergodic sums is an important subject since the seminal contribution of Bernstein for independent random variables with finite variances, followed by the Chernoff method and the Hoefding result for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Miguel Abadi

We provide sharp estimates for the distribution function of a martingale transform of the indicator function of an event. They are formulated in terms of Burkholder functions, which are reduced to the already known Bellman functions for…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-10-05 Dmitriy Stolyarov , Vasily Vasyunin , Pavel Zatitskii

We present a new Monte Carlo methodology for the accurate estimation of the distribution of the sum of dependent log-normal random variables. The methodology delivers statistically unbiased estimators for three distributional quantities of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-20 Zdravko Botev , Robert Salomone , Daniel MacKinlay

Let $\bX=\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ and $\bY=\{Y_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ be two independent random sequences. We obtain rates of convergence to the normal law of randomly weighted self-normalized sums $$ \psi_n(\bX,\bY)=\sum_{i=1}^nX_iY_i/V_n,\quad…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-28 Siegfried Hoermann , Yvik Swan

Finite sample properties of random covariance-type matrices have been the subject of much research. In this paper we focus on the "lower tail" of such a matrix, and prove that it is subgaussian under a simple fourth moment assumption on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

We introduce a new discrepancy score between two distributions that gives an indication on their similarity. While much research has been done to determine if two samples come from exactly the same distribution, much less research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-16 Maayan Harel , Shie Mannor

We consider the problem of mean estimation assuming only finite variance. We study a new class of mean estimators constructed by integrating over random noise applied to a soft-truncated empirical mean estimator. For appropriate choices of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Matthew J. Holland