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We study threshold properties of random constraint satisfaction problems under a probabilistic model due to Molloy. We give a sufficient condition for the existence of a sharp threshold that leads (for boolean constraints) to a necessary…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gabriel Istrate

In this paper, we consider the nonasymptotic sequential estimation of means of random variables bounded in between zero and one. We have rigorously demonstrated that, in order to guarantee prescribed relative precision and confidence level,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

A powerful robust mean estimator introduced by Catoni (2012) allows for mean estimation of heavy-tailed data while achieving the performance characteristics of classical mean estimator for sub-Gaussian data. While Catoni's framework has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Zhijun Cai , Xiang Li , Lihu Xu

Outcome-dependent sampling designs are common in many different scientific fields including epidemiology, ecology, and economics. As with all observational studies, such designs often suffer from unmeasured confounding, which generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Erin E. Gabriel , Michael C. Sachs , Arvid Sjölander

We deal with a general class of extreme-value regression models introduced by Barreto- Souza and Vasconcellos (2011). Our goal is to derive an adjusted likelihood ratio statistic that is approximately distributed as \c{hi}2 with a high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-14 Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Eliane C. Pinheiro

We study constrained selection sets of random closed sets defined on a non-atomic probability space. Given a random interval $Y=[y_L,y_U]$ and scalar constraints on the expectation or the median of admissible selections, we characterize the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Arie Beresteanu , Behrooz Moosavi Rameznzadeh

During recent years the interest of optimization and machine learning communities in high-probability convergence of stochastic optimization methods has been growing. One of the main reasons for this is that high-probability complexity…

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

We consider quasi-admissibility/inadmissibility of Stein-type shrinkage estimators of the mean of a multivariate normal distribution with covariance matrix an unknown multiple of the identity. Quasi-admissibility/inadmissibility is defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

Given $n$ i.i.d. samples from an unknown discrete distribution over an unknown set, the unseen species problem is to predict how many new outcomes would be observed in $m$ additional samples. For small $m$ we show that the Good-Toulmin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Edward Eriksson

Instrumental variables have proven useful, in particular within the social sciences and economics, for making inference about the causal effect of a random variable, B, on another random variable, C, in the presence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

We present new estimators of the mean of a real valued random variable, based on PAC-Bayesian iterative truncation. We analyze the non-asymptotic minimax properties of the deviations of estimators for distributions having either a bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-30 Olivier Catoni

We present asymptotically sharp inequalities for the eigenvalues $\mu_k$ of the Laplacian on a domain with Neumann boundary conditions, using the averaged variational principle introduced in \cite{HaSt14}. For the Riesz mean $R_1(z)$ of the…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Evans M. Harrell , Joachim Stubbe

The variance of primes in short intervals relates to the Riemann Hypothesis, Montgomery's Pair Correlation Conjecture and the Hardy--Littlewood Conjecture. In regards to its asymptotics, very little is known unconditionally. We study the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Ofir Gorodetsky

In this work, we study the normal approximation and almost sure central limit theorems for some functionals of an independent sequence of Rademacher random variables. In particular, we provide a new chain rule that improves the one derived…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Guangqu Zheng

This article provides a central limit theorem for a consistent estimator of population eigenvalues with large multiplicities based on sample covariance matrices. The focus is on limited sample size situations, whereby the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Jianfeng Yao , Romain Couillet , Jamal Najim , Merouane Debbah

We propose a robust and scalable procedure for general optimization and inference problems on manifolds leveraging the classical idea of `median-of-means' estimation. This is motivated by ubiquitous examples and applications in modern data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Lizhen Lin , Drew Lazar , Bayan Sarpabayeva , David B. Dunson