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We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

We study confidence intervals based on hard-thresholding, soft-thresholding, and adaptive soft-thresholding in a linear regression model where the number of regressors $k$ may depend on and diverge with sample size $n$. In addition to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Ulrike Schneider

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

In randomized trials, once the total effect of the intervention has been estimated, it is often of interest to explore mechanistic effects through mediators along the causal pathway between the randomized treatment and the outcome. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-28 Erin E Gabriel , Michael C Sachs , Arvid Sjölander

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

This paper concerns the estimation of sums of functions of observable and unobservable variables. Lower bounds for the asymptotic variance and a convolution theorem are derived in general finite- and infinite-dimensional models. An explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cun-Hui Zhang

Historically, to bound the mean for small sample sizes, practitioners have had to choose between using methods with unrealistic assumptions about the unknown distribution (e.g., Gaussianity) and methods like Hoeffding's inequality that use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 My Phan , Philip S. Thomas , Erik Learned-Miller

This paper addresses the following question: given a sample of i.i.d. random variables with finite variance, can one construct an estimator of the unknown mean that performs nearly as well as if the data were normally distributed? One of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Stanislav Minsker

The inflated beta regression model is widely used for modeling continuous proportions with values at the boundaries. Maximum likelihood estimation for these models is well-known for its sensitivity to outliers, which can severely distort…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes de Paula Ferrari

Regression adjustments are often made to experimental data. Since randomization does not justify the models, bias is likely; nor are the usual variance calculations to be trusted. Here, we evaluate regression adjustments using Neyman's…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 David A. Freedman

We revisit the classic problem of aggregating binary advice from conditionally independent experts, also known as the Naive Bayes setting. Our quantity of interest is the error probability of the optimal decision rule. In the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Aryeh Kontorovich , Ariel Avital

Fisherian randomization inference is often dismissed as testing an uninteresting and implausible hypothesis: the sharp null of no effects whatsoever. We show that this view is overly narrow. Many randomization tests are also valid under a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-22 Devin Caughey , Allan Dafoe , Luke Miratrix

Let $X$ be a random variable with unknown mean and finite variance. We present a new estimator of the mean of $X$ that is robust with respect to the possible presence of outliers in the sample, provides tight sub-Gaussian deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Stanislav Minsker , Mohamed Ndaoud

A proof for the lower bound is provided for the smallest eigenvalue of finite element equations with arbitrary conforming simplicial meshes. The bound has a similar form as the one by Graham and McLean [SIAM J. Numer. Anal., 44 (2006), pp.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Lennard Kamenski

This paper considers the problem of design-based inference for the average treatment effect in finely stratified experiments. Here, by "design-based'' we mean that the only source of uncertainty stems from the randomness in treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Yuehao Bai , Xun Huang , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

G-computation has become a widely used robust method for estimating unconditional (marginal) treatment effects with covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized clinical trials. Statistical inference in this context typically relies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Xin Zhang , Haitao Chu , Lin Liu , Satrajit Roychoudhury

In this article we discuss estimation of the common variance of several normal populations with tree order restricted means. We discuss the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the variance as the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Sanjay Chaudhuri

We use a new method via $p$-Wasserstein bounds to prove Cram\'er-type moderate deviations in (multivariate) normal approximations. In the classical setting that $W$ is a standardized sum of $n$ independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

The paper proposes some robust estimators of the finite population mean. Such estimators are particularly suitable in the presence of some outlying observations. Included as special cases of our general result are robust versions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Malay Ghosh

We present two sharp, closed-form empirical Bernstein inequalities for symmetric random matrices with bounded eigenvalues. By sharp, we mean that both inequalities adapt to the unknown variance in a tight manner: the deviation captured by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas