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Nonstationary Gaussian processes (GPs) are essential for modeling complex, locally heterogeneous spatial data. A common modeling approach is the spatial deformation method that warps the domain to recover isotropy. However, this static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Minghao Gu , Weizhi Lin , Qiang Huang

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

Neural population activity exhibits complex, nonlinear dynamics, varying in time, over trials, and across experimental conditions. Here, we develop Conditionally Linear Dynamical System (CLDS) models as a general-purpose method to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-31 Victor Geadah , Amin Nejatbakhsh , David Lipshutz , Jonathan W. Pillow , Alex H. Williams

The processes influencing animal movement and resource selection are complex and varied. Past efforts to model behavioral changes over time used Bayesian statistical models with variable parameter space, such as reversible-jump Markov chain…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-15 Ephraim M. Hanks , Mevin B. Hooten , Mat W. Alldredge

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

Spatial data are often derived from multiple sources (e.g. satellites, in-situ sensors, survey samples) with different supports, but associated with the same properties of a spatial phenomenon of interest. It is common for predictors to…

Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Shuilian Xie , Mahdi Imani , Edward R. Dougherty , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Dongwei Ye , Mengwu Guo

Predicting the future of Graph-supported Time Series (GTS) is a key challenge in many domains, such as climate monitoring, finance or neuroimaging. Yet it is a highly difficult problem as it requires to account jointly for time and graph…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-20 Myriam Bontonou , Carlos Lassance , Vincent Gripon , Nicolas Farrugia

Inverse problems with spatiotemporal observations are ubiquitous in scientific studies and engineering applications. In these spatiotemporal inverse problems, observed multivariate time series are used to infer parameters of physical or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Mirjeta Pasha

We introduce deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization (DMSTF), a generative model for dynamical analysis of spatio-temporal data. Like other factor analysis methods, DMSTF approximates high dimensional data by a product between time…

Latent dynamics discovery is challenging in extracting complex dynamics from high-dimensional noisy neural data. Many dimensionality reduction methods have been widely adopted to extract low-dimensional, smooth and time-evolving latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Qi She , Anqi Wu

We introduce a novel unsupervised learning method for time series data with latent dynamical structure: the recognition-parametrized Gaussian state space model (RP-GSSM). The RP-GSSM is a probabilistic model that learns Markovian Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Samo Hromadka , Kai Biegun , Lior Fox , James Heald , Maneesh Sahani

We develop a framework for derivative Gaussian process latent variable models (DGP-LVMs) that can handle multi-dimensional output data using modified derivative covariance functions. The modifications account for complexities in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Numerically solving partial differential equations (PDEs) can be challenging and computationally expensive. This has led to the development of reduced-order models (ROMs) that are accurate but faster than full order models (FOMs). Recently,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Christophe Bonneville , Youngsoo Choi , Debojyoti Ghosh , Jonathan L. Belof

Diffusion models generate data by learning to reverse a forward process, where samples are progressively perturbed with Gaussian noise according to a predefined noise schedule. From a geometric perspective, each noise schedule corresponds…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Teng Zhang , Hongxu Jiang , Kuang Gong , Wei Shao

Non-intrusive reduced-order models (ROMs) have recently generated considerable interest for constructing computationally efficient counterparts of nonlinear dynamical systems emerging from various domain sciences. They provide a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-30 Romit Maulik , Themistoklis Botsas , Nesar Ramachandra , Lachlan Robert Mason , Indranil Pan

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson