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We study two time-changed variants of the birth-death process with catastrophe where the time-changing components are the first hitting times of the stable subordinator and the tempered stable subordinator. For both the processes, we derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Kuldeep Kumar Kataria , Rohini Bhagwanrao Pote

In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

In the present paper, the primal-dual problem consisting of the investment risk minimization problem and the expected return maximization problem in the mean-variance model is discussed using replica analysis. As a natural extension of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-20 Takashi Shinzato

Traditional non-life reserving models largely neglect the vast amount of information collected over the lifetime of a claim. This information includes covariates describing the policy, claim cause as well as the detailed history collected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-22 Jonas Crevecoeur , Jens Robben , Katrien Antonio

We study the cyclic inventory routing problem that involves joint decisions on vehicle routing and inventory replenishment on an infinite, cyclic horizon. It considers a single warehouse and a set of geographically dispersed retailers. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Menglei Jia , Albert H. Schrotenboer , Ahmadreza Marandi , Feng Chen

There are growing concerns for reserves estimation of incurred but not reported (IBNR) claims in actuarial sciences. In this paper, we propose a copula-based dependency model to capture the relationship between two main IBNR reserve…

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

We consider a two-node queue modeled as a two-dimensional random walk. In particular, we consider the case that one or both queues have finite buffers. We develop an approximation scheme based on the Markov reward approach to error bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Yanting Chen , Xinwei Bai , Richard J. Boucherie , Jasper Goseling

In this paper, we introduce a risk process, namely, the mixed fractional risk process (MFRP) in which the number of claims in the associated claim process are modelled using the mixed fractional Poisson process (MFPP). The covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

This paper deals with the discrete-time risk model with nonidentically distributed claims. We suppose that the claims repeat with time periods of three units, that is, claim distributions coincide at times $\{1,4,7,\ldots\}$, at times…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Andrius Grigutis , Agneška Korvel , Jonas Šiaulys

The paper proposes an original methodology for constructing quantitative statistical models based on multidimensional distribution functions constructed on the basis of the insurance companies' data on inshurance policies (including…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Valery Baskakov , Nikolay Sheparnev , Evgeny Yanenko

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ with increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,0)$, $(0,1)$ and $(0,-1)$; $X$ represents, at arrivals and service completions, the lengths of two queues working in parallel whose service and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Kamil Demirberk Ünlü , Ali Devin Sezer

Let $S=(S_n)$ be an oscillatory random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ with i.i.d. increments. Let $V_{{\rm d}}(x)$ be the renewal function of the strictly descending ladder height process for $S$. We obtain several sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Kohei Uchiyama

The appropriate estimation of incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves is traditionally one of the most important task of actuaries working in casualty and property insurance. As certain claims are reported many years after their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Laszlo Martinek , Miklos Arato , Miklos Malyusz

This paper solves the consumption-investment problem under Epstein-Zin preferences on a random horizon. In an incomplete market, we take the random horizon to be a stopping time adapted to the market filtration, generated by all observable,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-09 Joshua Aurand , Yu-Jui Huang

This paper studies a continuous-time portfolio selection problem under a general distribution of random risk aversion (RRA). We provide a complete characterization of all deterministic equilibrium strategies in closed form. Our results show…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Weilun Cheng , Zongxia Liang , Sheng Wang , Jianming Xia

We find the optimal indemnity to minimize the probability of ruin when premium is calculated according to the distortion premium principle with a proportional risk load, and admissible indemnities are such that both the indemnity and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Bahman Angoshtari , Virginia R. Young

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands