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For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

In this paper the utility optimization problem for a general insurance model is studied. The reserve process of the insurance company is described by a stochastic differential equation driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Yuping Liu , Jin Ma

Incurred but not reported (IBNR) loss reserving is an important issue for Property & Casualty (P&C) insurers. The modeling of the claim arrival process, especially its temporal dependence, has not been closely examined in many of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-22 Andrei L. Badescu , X. Sheldon Lin , Dameng Tang

The gambler's ruin problem for correlated random walks (CRW), both with and without delays, is addressed using the Optional Stopping Theorem for martingales. We derive closed-form expressions for the ruin probabilities and the expected game…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Vladimir Pozdnyakov

The claim arrival process to an insurance company is modeled by a compound Poisson process whose intensity and/or jump size distribution changes at an unobservable time with a known distribution. It is in the insurance company's interest to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

In this manuscript we consider the dual risk model with financial application, where the random gains occur under a renewal process. We particularly work the Erlang(n) case for common distribution of the inter-arrival times, from there it…

A single server retrial queueing system with two-classes of orbiting customers, and general class dependent service times is considered. If an arriving customer finds the server unavailable, it enters a virtual queue, called the orbit,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Ioannis Dimitriou

We consider a two dimensional reflecting random walk on the nonnegative integer quadrant. It is assumed that this reflecting random walk has skip free transitions. We are concerned with its time reversed process assuming that the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa , Hiroshi Shimizu

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

The infinite-server queueing models with homogeneous and non-homogeneous arrivals of customers and catastrophes are considered. The probability generating functions of joint distributions of numbers of busy servers and served customers, as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Khanik Kerobyan

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

We consider the multivariate risk model with common renewal process among the lines of business, and Brownian perturbations. Assuming that the integrated tail distribution of claims is multivariate subexponential, we establish an asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides

We used the random walk to model the problem of reserves. The classic case of a stochastic process is the example of random walks, which are used to study a set of phenomena and, particularly, as in this article, models of reserves…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-22 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira , José António Filipe

Within the Solvency II framework the insurance industry requires a realistic modelling of the risk processes relevant for its business. Every insurance company should be capable of running a holistic risk management process to meet this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-23 Magda Schiegl

In this paper, we investigate the robust optimal reinsurance,investment,and internal surplus distribution (i.e., consumption) problem for an insurer with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences in an incomplete market. It is assumed that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Junyi Guo , Jianxuan Li , Qianqian Zhou

We investigate reflected random walks in the quarter plane, with particular emphasis on the time spent along the reflection boundary axes. Assuming the drift of the random walk lies within the cone, the local time converges -- without the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Viet Hung Hoang , Kilian Raschel

We consider a diffusion risk model where proportional reinsurance can be bought. In order to stabilise the surplus process, one tries to keep the drawdown, that is the difference of the surplus to its historical maximum, in an interval…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Kira Dudziak , Hanspeter Schmidli

Disability insurance claims are often affected by lengthy reporting delays and adjudication processes. The classic multistate life insurance modeling framework is ill-suited to handle such information delays since the cash flow and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Oliver Lunding Sandqvist

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys