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This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

By their very nature, rare event probabilities are expensive to compute; they are also delicate to estimate as their value strongly depends on distributional assumptions on the model parameters. Hence, understanding the sensitivity of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre Gremaud

In this paper we propose an extension of the classical Sobol' estimator for the estimation of variance based sensitivity indices. The approach assumes a linear correlation model between the input variables which is used to decompose the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-12 Thomas Most

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising multivariate Hermite orthogonal polynomials in dependent Gaussian random variables. The second-moment properties of Hermite polynomials reveal a weakly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Sharif Rahman

Software engineers often have to estimate the performance of a software system before having full knowledge of the system parameters, such as workload and operational profile. These uncertain parameters inevitably affect the accuracy of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Aldeida Aleti , Catia Trubiani , André van Hoorn , Pooyan Jamshidi

In this paper, we combine deterministic splitting methods with a polynomial chaos expansion method for solving stochastic parabolic evolution problems. The stochastic differential equation is reduced to a system of deterministic equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Andreas Kofler , Tijana Levajković , Hermann Mena , Alexander Ostermann

Global sensitivity analysis of a numerical code, more specifically estimation of Sobol indices associated with input variables, generally requires a large number of model runs. When those demand too much computation time, it is necessary to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Alexandre Janon , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

Operator learning (OL) has emerged as a powerful tool in scientific machine learning (SciML) for approximating mappings between infinite-dimensional functional spaces. One of its main applications is learning the solution operator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-29 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

Multivariate global polynomial approximations - such as polynomial chaos or stochastic collocation methods - are now in widespread use for sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification. The pseudospectral variety of these methods uses…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Paul G. Constantine , Michael S. Eldred , Eric T. Phipps

We present an algorithm for computing sparse, least squares-based polynomial chaos expansions, incorporating both adaptive polynomial bases and sequential experimental designs. The algorithm is employed to approximate stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Armin Galetzka , Herbert De Gersem

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) methods are useful tools to rank input parameters uncertainties regarding their impact on result variability. In practice, such type of approach is still at an exploratory level for studies relying on 2D…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-03-28 M Abily , N Bertrand , O Delestre , P Gourbesville , Y Richet , C. -M Duluc

Stochastic simulators such as Monte-Carlo estimators are widely used in science and engineering to study physical systems through their probabilistic representation. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the input parameters which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-03 Loic Le Gratiet

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) is the study of the influence of any given inputs on the outputs of a model. In the context of engineering design, GSA has been widely used to understand both individual and collective contributions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-06 Yigitcan Comlek , Liwei Wang , Wei Chen

In uncertainty quantification, a stochastic modelling is often applied, where parameters are substituted by random variables. We investigate linear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations with a quantity of interest as output.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Roland Pulch , Akil Narayan

Configuration Optimization Problems (COPs), which involve minimizing a loss function over a set of discrete points $\boldsymbol{\gamma} \subset P$, are common in areas like Model Order Reduction, Active Learning, and Optimal Experimental…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Evie Nielen , Oliver Tse , Karen Veroy

This study demonstrates the capabilities of several methods for analyzing the sensitivity of neural networks to perturbations of the input data and interpreting their underlying mechanisms. The investigated approaches include the Sobol…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Jiaxuan Miao , Sergey Matveev

Simulations are becoming ever more common as a tool for designing complex products. Sensitivity analysis techniques can be applied to these simulations to gain insight, or to reduce the complexity of the problem at hand. However, these…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-02-03 Tom Van Steenkiste , Joachim van der Herten , Ivo Couckuyt , Tom Dhaene

Gradient-enhanced Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has received recent attention, in which the derivatives of a Quantity of Interest (QoI) with respect to the uncertain parameters are utilized to improve the surrogate approximation.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-23 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan