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We consider price competition among multiple sellers over a selling horizon of $T$ periods. In each period, sellers simultaneously offer their prices (which are made public) and subsequently observe their respective demand (not made…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Daniele Bracale , Moulinath Banerjee , Cong Shi , Yuekai Sun

In this paper, we develop a Markovian model that deals with the volume offered at the best quote of an electronic order book. The volume of the first limit is a stochastic process whose paths are periodically interrupted and reset to a new…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke

In 1964, G.J. Stigler introduced a stochastic model for the evolution of an order book on a stock market. This model was independently rediscovered and generalized by H. Luckock in 2003. In his formulation, traders place buy and sell limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Jan M. Swart

In this study, we present a simple stochastic order-book model for investors' swarm behaviors seen in the continuous double auction mechanism, which is employed by major global exchanges. Our study shows a characteristic called "fat tail"…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Shingo Ichiki , Katsuhiro Nishinari

In this paper we will prove various probabilistic limit theorems for some classes of distance expanding sequential dynamical systems (SDS). Our starting point here is certain sequential complex Ruelle-Perron-Frobenius (RPF) theorems which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Yeor Hafouta

Managing high-frequency data in a limit order book (LOB) is a complex task that often exceeds the capabilities of conventional time-series forecasting models. Accurately predicting the entire multi-level LOB, beyond just the mid-price, is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-05 Jiwon Jung , Kiseop Lee

We present a reproducible research framework for market microstructure combining a deterministic C++ limit order book (LOB) simulator with stochastic order flow generated by multivariate marked Hawkes processes. The paper derives full…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Sohaib El Karmi

We consider systems of diffusion processes ("particles") interacting through their ranks (also referred to as "rank-based models" in the mathematical finance literature). We show that, as the number of particles becomes large, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Praveen Kolli , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We consider Markov models of large-scale networks where nodes are characterized by their local behavior and by a mobility model over a two-dimensional lattice. By assuming random walk, we prove convergence to a system of partial…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-04-27 Max Tschaikowski , Mirco Tribastone

The problem of designing a profit-maximizing, Bayesian incentive compatible and individually rational mechanism with flexible consumers and costly heterogeneous supply is considered. In our setup, each consumer is associated with a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Shiva Navabi , Ashutosh Nayyar

Motivated by the desire to bridge the gap between the microscopic description of price formation (agent-based modeling) and the stochastic differential equations approach used classically to describe price evolution at macroscopic time…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Frederic Abergel , Aymen Jedidi

We develop an empirical behavioural order-driven (EBOD) model, which consists of an order placement process and an order cancellation process. Price limit rules are introduced in the definition of relative price. The order placement process…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Gao-Feng Gu , Xiong Xiong , Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei Zhang , Yong-Jie Zhang , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper investigates a stochastic inventory management problem in which a cash-constrained small retailer periodically purchases a product from suppliers and sells it to a market while facing non-stationary demands. In each period, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-13 Zhen Chen , Roberto Rossi

We present a detailed analysis of the self-organization phenomenon in which the stylized facts originate from finite size effects with respect to the number of agents considered and disappear in the limit of an infinite population. By…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Alfi , M. Cristelli , L. Pietronero , A. Zaccaria

Order book dynamics play an important role in both execution time and price formation of orders in an exchange market. In this study, we aim to model the limit order arrival rates in the vicinity of the best bid and the best ask price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-19 Can Yilmaz Altinigne , Harun Ozkan , Veli Can Kupeli , Zehra Cataltepe

We showcase how dropout variational inference can be applied to a large-scale deep learning model that predicts price movements from limit order books (LOBs), the canonical data source representing trading and pricing movements. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We consider an optimal trading problem under a market impact model with endogenous market resistance generated by a sophisticated trader who (partially) detects metaorders and trades against them to exploit price overreactions induced by…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-05 Nathan De Carvalho , Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi , Grégoire Szymanski

Assuming frictionless trading, classical stochastic portfolio theory (SPT) provides relative arbitrage strategies. However, the costs associated with real-world execution are state-dependent, volatile, and under increasing stress during…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Nader Karimi , Erfan Salavati

In this paper, we consider the classic stochastic (dynamic) knapsack problem, a fundamental mathematical model in revenue management, with general time-varying random demand. Our main goal is to study the optimal policies, which can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Yingdong Lu

We investigate whether the bid/ask queue imbalance in a limit order book (LOB) provides significant predictive power for the direction of the next mid-price movement. We consider this question both in the context of a simple binary…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Martin D. Gould , Julius Bonart