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In this paper we introduce a new feature selection algorithm to remove the irrelevant or redundant features in the data sets. In this algorithm the importance of a feature is based on its fitting to the Catastrophe model. Akaike information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Mahdi Zarei

Importance sampling (IS) is commonly used for cross validation (CV) in Bayesian models, because it only involves reweighting existing posterior draws without needing to re-estimate the model by re-running Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-12 Geonhee Han , Andrew Gelman

We extend the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), an asymptotic approximation for the marginal likelihood, to Bayesian networks with hidden variables. This approximation can be used to select models given large samples of data. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Dan Geiger , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have become a essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models. Earlier, Grelaud et al. (2009) advocated the use of ABC for Bayesian model choice in the specific case of Gibbs random…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Marie Cornuet , Jean-Michel Marin , Natesh Pillai

We study an AMOC time series model with an abrupt change in the mean and dependent errors that fulfill certain mixing conditions. We obtain confidence intervals for the unknown change-point via bootstrapping methods. Precisely we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Marie Huskova , Claudia Kirch

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models when the likelihood function is numerically unavailable. However, the well-established statistical method of empirical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-05 K. L. Mengersen , P. Pudlo , C. P. Robert

Boosting methods are widely used in statistical learning to deal with high-dimensional data due to their variable selection feature. However, those methods lack straightforward ways to construct estimators for the precision of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Boyao Zhang , Colin Griesbach , Cora Kim , Nadia Müller-Voggel , Elisabeth Bergherr

Spatial regression models have a variety of applications in several fields ranging from economics to public health. Typically, it is of interest to select important exogenous predictors of the spatially autocorrelated response variable. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Sagar Pandhare , Divya Kappara , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

We introduce a novel cross-validation method that we call latinCV and we compare this method to other model selection methods using data generated from a stochastic block model. Comparing latinCV to other cross-validation methods, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-11 Beau Dabbs , Brian Junker

The goal of this paper is to compare several widely used Bayesian model selection methods in practical model selection problems, highlight their differences and give recommendations about the preferred approaches. We focus on the variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

In this article, we propose a novel Bayesian multiple testing formulation for model and variable selection in inverse setups, judiciously embedding the idea of inverse reference distributions proposed by Bhattacharya (2013) in a mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

First, we analyze the variance of the Cross Validation (CV)-based estimators used for estimating the performance of classification rules. Second, we propose a novel estimator to estimate this variance using the Influence Function (IF)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Waleed A. Yousef

For multivariate regularly random vectors of dimension $d$, the dependence structure of the extremes is modeled by the so-called angular measure. When the dimension $d$ is high, estimating the angular measure is challenging because of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Lucas Butsch , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

The correct use of model evaluation, model selection, and algorithm selection techniques is vital in academic machine learning research as well as in many industrial settings. This article reviews different techniques that can be used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Sebastian Raschka

Varying coefficient models have numerous applications in a wide scope of scientific areas. While enjoying nice interpretability, they also allow flexibility in modeling dynamic impacts of the covariates. But, in the new era of big data, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-27 Ming-Yen Cheng , Toshio Honda , Jin-Ting Zhang

We study the law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters (as a convex optimization problem) in the generalized linear models with independent or weakly dependent ($\rho$-mixing, $m$-dependent)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Xiaowei Yang , Shuang Song , Huiming Zhang

In this work, we provide a refinement of the selective CLT result of Tian and Taylor (2015), which allows for selective inference in non-parametric settings by adjusting for the asymptotic Gaussian limit for selection. Under some regularity…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Jelena Markovic , Jonathan Taylor

We develop a new approach for estimating the risk of an arbitrary estimator of the mean vector in the classical normal means problem. The key idea is to generate two auxiliary data vectors, by adding carefully constructed normal noise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

The purpose of this article is to look at how information criteria, such as AIC and BIC, relate to the g%SD fit criterion derived in Waddell et al. (2007, 2010a). The g%SD criterion measures the fit of data to model based on a normalized…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-01 Peter J. Waddell , Xi Tan