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We consider regression models with data of the type $y_i=m(x_i)+\varepsilon_i$, where the $m(x)$ curve is taken locally constant, with unknown levels and jump points. We investigate the large-sample properties of the minimum least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Steffen Grønneberg , Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort

Noting the erroneous proclivity of information-theoretic approaches, like the Akaike information criterion (AIC), to select simpler models while performing model selection with a small sample size, we address the problem of new physics…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-08-12 Srimoy Bhattacharya , Soumitra Nandi , Sunando Kumar Patra , Shantanu Sahoo

Information criteria are an appropriate and widely used tool for solving model selection problems. However, different ways to use them exist, each leading to a more or less precise approximation of the sought model. In this paper, we mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Guilhem Coq , Olivier Alata , Marc Arnaudon , Christian Olivier

Typical Bayesian methods for models with latent variables (or random effects) involve directly sampling the latent variables along with the model parameters. In high-level software code for model definitions (using, e.g., BUGS, JAGS, Stan),…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-12 E. C. Merkle , D. Furr , S. Rabe-Hesketh

The uncertainty-penalized information criterion (UBIC) has been proposed as a new model-selection criterion for data-driven partial differential equation (PDE) discovery. In this paper, we show that using the UBIC is equivalent to employing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Pongpisit Thanasutives , Ken-ichi Fukui

We propose two methods to evaluate the conditional Akaike information (cAI) for nonlinear mixed-effects models with no restriction on cluster size. Method 1 is designed for continuous data and includes formulae for the derivatives of fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan , James T. Thorson

The identification of the lag length for vector autoregressive models by mean of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Partial Autoregressive and Correlation Matrices (PAM and PCM hereafter) is studied in the framework of processes with time…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-27 Hamdi RaÏssi

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods have gained in their popularity over the last decade because they expand the horizon of Bayesian parameter inference methods to the range of models for which only forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-05 Majid K. Vakilzadeh , James L. Beck , Thomas Abrahamsson

Claeskens and Hjort (2003) constructed the focused information criterion (FIC) and developed frequentist model averaging methods using maximum likelihood estimators assuming the observations to be independent and identically distributed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-24 S. C. Pandhare , T. V. Ramanathan

Model order selection (MOS) in linear regression models is a widely studied problem in signal processing. Techniques based on information theoretic criteria (ITC) are algorithms of choice in MOS problems. This article proposes a novel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Sreejith Kallummil , Sheetal Kalyani

In this article, we introduce the concept of model confidence bounds (MCB) for variable selection in the context of nested models. Similarly to the endpoints in the familiar confidence interval for parameter estimation, the MCB identifies…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-27 Yang Li , Yuetian Luo , Davide Ferrari , Xiaonan Hu , Yichen Qin

In recent years, a wide range of mortality models has been proposed to address the diverse factors influencing mortality rates, which has highlighted the need to perform model selection. Traditional mortality model selection methods, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Alex Diana , Jackie Wong Siaw Tze , Aniketh Pittea

Variable clustering is important for explanatory analysis. However, only few dedicated methods for variable clustering with the Gaussian graphical model have been proposed. Even more severe, small insignificant partial correlations due to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-18 Daniel Andrade , Akiko Takeda , Kenji Fukumizu

A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-16 Umberto Picchini , Rachele Anderson

Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Andrea Mariani , Andrea Giorgetti , Marco Chiani

Recently several more efficient versions of quantum state tomography have been proposed, with the purpose of making tomography feasible even for many-qubit states. The number of state parameters to be estimated is reduced by tentatively…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-27 J. O. S. Yin , S. J. van Enk

Recent advances in molecular simulations allow the evaluation of previously unattainable observables, such as rate constants for protein folding. However, these calculations are usually computationally expensive and even significant…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Barmak Mostofian , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Vine copulas allow to build flexible dependence models for an arbitrary number of variables using only bivariate building blocks. The number of parameters in a vine copula model increases quadratically with the dimension, which poses new…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-20 Thomas Nagler , Christian Bumann , Claudia Czado

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

In this article we propose a general class of risk measures which can be used for data based evaluation of parametric models. The loss function is defined as generalized quadratic distance between the true density and the proposed model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-02 Surajit Ray , Bruce G. Lindsay
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