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We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

Sustaining efficiency and stability by properly controlling the equity to asset ratio is one of the most important and difficult challenges in bank management. Due to unexpected and abrupt decline of asset values, a bank must closely…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-14 Masahiko Egami , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one L\'evy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This L\'evy process can not be observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Waly Ngom

This paper is concerned with nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density of a pure jump L\'evy process. The sample path is observed at $n$ discrete instants with fixed sampling interval. We construct a collection of estimators obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-01 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot

We consider the intensity-based approach for the modeling of default times of one or more companies. In this approach the default times are defined as the jump times of a Cox process, which is a Poisson process conditional on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Vincent Leijdekker , Peter Spreij

We investigate the impact of available information on the estimation of the default probability within a generalized structural model for credit risk. The traditional structural model where default is triggered when the value of the firm's…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

The modeling of the probability of joint default or total number of defaults among the firms is one of the crucial problems to mitigate the credit risk since the default correlations significantly affect the portfolio loss distribution and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-08 Puneet Pasricha , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Selvaraju Natarajan

In this paper, we study a continuous time structural asset value model for two correlated firms using a two-dimensional Brownian motion. We consider the situation of incomplete information, where the information set available to the market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-28 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Harry Zheng

We obtain general lower estimates of transition densities of jump L\'evy processes. We use them for processes with L\'evy measures having bounded support, processes with exponentially decaying L\'evy measures for large times and for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Pawel Sztonyk

The present paper introduces a jump-diffusion extension of the classical diffusion default intensity model by means of subordination in the sense of Bochner. We start from the bi-variate process $(X,D)$ of a diffusion state variable $X$…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-24 Rafael Mendoza-Arriaga , Vadim Linetsky

Motivated by the interplay between structural and reduced form credit models, we propose to model the firm value process as a time-changed Brownian motion that may include jumps and stochastic volatility effects, and to study the first…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-16 T. R. Hurd

We develop a model for point processes on the real line, where the intensity can be locally unbounded without inducing an explosion. In contrast to an orderly point process, for which the probability of observing more than one event over a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Alexei Kolokolov

In the paper [Hainaut, D. and Colwell, D.B., {\rm A structural model for credit risk with switching processes and synchronous jumps}, The European Journal of Finance 22(11) (2016): 1040-1062], the authors exploit a synchronous-jump…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Davood Damircheli , Mohsen Razzaghi , Seyed-Mohammad-Mahdi Kazemi , Ali Foroush Bastani

We model the term structure of the forward default intensity and the default density by using L\'evy random fields, which allow us to consider the credit derivatives with an after-default recovery payment. As applications, we study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 Lijun Bo , Ying Jiao , Xuewei Yang

For the sum process $X=X^1+X^2$ of a bivariate L\'evy process $(X^1,X^2)$ with possibly dependent components, we derive a quintuple law describing the first upwards passage event of $X$ over a fixed barrier, caused by a jump, by the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-11 Irmingard Eder , Claudia Klüppelberg

We study a first passage time of a L\'evy process over a positive constant level. In the spectrally negative case we give conditions for absolutely continuity of the distributions of the first passage times. The tail asymptotics of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shunsuke Kaji , Muneya Matsui

This paper introduces a novel stochastic model for credit spreads. The stochastic approach leverages the diffusion of default intensities via a CIR++ model and is formulated within a risk-neutral probability space. Our research primarily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Djibril Sarr

This paper discusses the valuation of credit default swaps, where default is announced when the reference asset price has gone below certain level from the last record maximum, also known as the high-water mark or drawdown. We assume that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-29 Zbigniew Palmowski , Budhi Surya

A Levy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is proposed to model the evolution of the risk-free rate and default intensities for the purpose of evaluating option contracts on a credit index. Time evolution in credit markets is assumed to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-01 Yoshihiro Shirai

This paper gives examples of explicit arbitrage-free term structure models with L\'evy jumps via state price density approach. By generalizing quadratic Gaussian models, it is found that the probability density function of a L\'evy process…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jirô Akahori , Takahiro Tsuchiya
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