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Related papers: Upper Tail Estimates with Combinatorial Proofs

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We prove that a uniformized variant of both the Rosenthal walk \cite{Rosenthal} and the Kac random walk \cite{Kac} on SO(n) mixes in $\cO(n^3)$ steps in total variation distance. The proof also extends easily to Rosenthal walk with fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Yunjiang Jiang

What is the probability that a sparse $n$-vertex random $d$-regular graph $G_n^d$, $n^{1-c}<d=o(n)$ contains many more copies of a fixed graph $K$ than expected? We determine the behavior of this upper tail to within a logarithmic gap in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Benjamin Gunby

This paper presents an adaptive version of the Hill estimator based on Lespki's model selection method. This simple data-driven index selection method is shown to satisfy an oracle inequality and is checked to achieve the lower bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Stéphane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

We prove that any distributional limit of finite planar graphs in which the degree of the root has an exponential tail is almost surely recurrent. As a corollary, we obtain that the uniform infinite planar triangulation and quadrangulation…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Ori Gurel-Gurevich , Asaf Nachmias

Recently the Ihara zeta function for the finite graph was extended to infinite one by Clair and Chinta et al. In this paper, we obtain the same expressions by a different approach from their analytical method. Our new approach is to take a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-12-17 Takashi Komatsu , Norio Konno , Iwao Sato

Rank 1 inhomogeneous random graphs are a natural generalization of Erd\H{o}s R\'enyi random graphs. In this generalization each node is given a weight. Then the probability that an edge is present depends on the product of the weights of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Othmane Safsafi

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

This paper introduces a distribution-dependent PAC-Chernoff bound that exhibits perfect tightness for interpolators, even within over-parameterized model classes. This bound, which relies on basic principles of Large Deviation Theory,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Andrés R. Masegosa , Luis A. Ortega

We use Stein's method to prove a generalization of the Lindeberg-Feller CLT providing an upper and a lower bound for the superior limit of the Kolmogorov distance between a normally distributed random variable and the rowwise sums of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Ben Berckmoes , Bob Lowen , Jan Van Casteren

With $\xi$ the number of triangles in the usual (Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) random graph $G(m,p)$, $p>1/m$ and $\eta>0$, we show (for some $C_{\eta}>0$) $$\Pr(\xi> (1+\eta)\E \xi) < \exp[-C_{\eta}\min{m^2p^2\log(1/p),m^3p^3}].$$ This is tight up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-30 Bobby DeMarco , Jeff Kahn

We establish an upper bound on the tails of a random variable that arises as a solution of a stochastic difference equation. In the non--negative case our bound is similar to a lower bound obtained by Goldie and Gr\"ubel in 1996.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-12 Pawel Hitczenko

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

We prove that for recurrent, reversible graphs, the following conditions are equivalent: (a) existence and uniqueness of the potential kernel, (b) existence and uniqueness of harmonic measure from infinity, (c) a new anchored Harnack…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Nathanaël Berestycki , Diederik van Engelenburg

We study the problem of obtaining lower bounds for polynomial calculus (PC) and polynomial calculus resolution (PCR) on proof degree, and hence by [Impagliazzo et al. '99] also on proof size. [Alekhnovich and Razborov '03] established that…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-05-07 Mladen Mikša , Jakob Nordström

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We study the problem of bounding the posterior distribution of discrete probabilistic programs with unbounded support, loops, and conditioning. Loops pose the main difficulty in this setting: even if exact Bayesian inference is possible,…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Fabian Zaiser , Andrzej S. Murawski , C. -H. Luke Ong

We present a universal concentration bound for sums of random variables under arbitrary dependence, and we prove that it is asymptotically optimal for broad families of marginals admitting a uniform integrable tail-quantile envelope. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Cosme Louart , Sicheng Tan

Let X_1,X_2,... be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, and put S_n=X_1+...+X_n. Under some conditions on the positive sequence tau_n and the positive increasing sequence a_n, we give necessary and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander R. Pruss

Recent research has made significant progress on the problem of bounding log partition functions for exponential family graphical models. Such bounds have associated dual parameters that are often used as heuristic estimates of the marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Pradeep Ravikumar , John Lafferty

Given a sequence of $s$-uniform hypergraphs $\{H_n\}_{n \geq 1}$, denote by $T_p(H_n)$ the number of edges in the random induced hypergraph obtained by including every vertex in $H_n$ independently with probability $p \in (0, 1)$. Recent…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Somabha Mukherjee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya
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