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We address the problem of learning to control an unknown nonlinear dynamical system through sequential interactions. Motivated by high-stakes applications in which mistakes can be catastrophic, such as robotics and healthcare, we study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-14 James Wang , Bruce D. Lee , Ingvar Ziemann , Nikolai Matni

Empirical risk minimization is a standard principle for choosing algorithms in learning theory. In this paper we study the properties of empirical risk minimization for time series. The analysis is carried out in a general framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Christian Brownlees , Jordi Llorens-Terrazas

Prediction with experts' advice is one of the most fundamental problems in online learning and captures many of its technical challenges. A recent line of work has looked at online learning through the lens of differential equations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Victor Sanches Portella , Christopher Liaw , Nicholas J. A. Harvey

We consider the problem of online learning in Linear Quadratic Control systems whose state transition and state-action transition matrices $A$ and $B$ may be initially unknown. We devise an online learning algorithm and provide guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

This work investigates the performance of the final iterate produced by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) under temporally dependent data. We consider two complementary sources of dependence: $(i)$ martingale-type dependence in both the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Yinan Shen , Yichen Zhang , Wen-Xin Zhou

We consider the online control problem with an unknown linear dynamical system in the presence of adversarial perturbations and adversarial convex loss functions. Although the problem is widely studied in model-based control, it remains…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-12 Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

We develop algorithms for online linear regression which achieve optimal static and dynamic regret guarantees \emph{even in the complete absence of prior knowledge}. We present a novel analysis showing that a discounted variant of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Andrew Jacobsen , Ashok Cutkosky

We consider the problem of controlling a possibly unknown linear dynamical system with adversarial perturbations, adversarially chosen convex loss functions, and partially observed states, known as non-stochastic control. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Max Simchowitz , Karan Singh , Elad Hazan

We investigate online convex optimization in non-stationary environments and choose dynamic regret as the performance measure, defined as the difference between cumulative loss incurred by the online algorithm and that of any feasible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Peng Zhao , Yu-Jie Zhang , Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

We study the problem of non-stationary dueling bandits and provide the first adaptive dynamic regret algorithm for this problem. The only two existing attempts in this line of work fall short across multiple dimensions, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Thomas Kleine Buening , Aadirupa Saha

In this work, we show existence of invariant ergodic measure for switched linear dynamical systems (SLDSs) under a norm-stability assumption of system dynamics in some unbounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^{n}$. Consequently, given a stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

We study online prediction where regret of the algorithm is measured against a benchmark defined via evolving constraints. This framework captures online prediction on graphs, as well as other prediction problems with combinatorial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We define "decision swap regret" which generalizes both prediction for downstream swap regret and omniprediction, and give algorithms for obtaining it for arbitrary multi-dimensional Lipschitz loss functions in online adversarial settings.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Jiuyao Lu , Aaron Roth , Mirah Shi

In this paper we consider stochastic multiarmed bandit problems. Recently a policy, DMED, is proposed and proved to achieve the asymptotic bound for the model that each reward distribution is supported in a known bounded interval, e.g.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Junya Honda , Akimichi Takemura

This paper investigates multistep prediction errors for non-stationary autoregressive processes with both model order and true parameters unknown. We give asymptotic expressions for the multistep mean squared prediction errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Ching-Kang Ing , Jin-Lung Lin , Shu-Hui Yu

We study the generalization performance of online learning algorithms trained on samples coming from a dependent source of data. We show that the generalization error of any stable online algorithm concentrates around its regret--an easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-08 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

We revisit the sequential variants of linear regression with the squared loss, classification problems with hinge loss, and logistic regression, all characterized by unbounded losses in the setup where no assumptions are made on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-08 Jian Qian , Alexander Rakhlin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We study a class of adversarial bandit optimization problems in which the loss functions may be non-convex and non-smooth. In each round, the learner observes a loss that consists of an underlying linear component together with an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Zhuoyu Cheng , Kohei Hatano , Eiji Takimoto

Projection-free online learning has drawn increasing interest due to its efficiency in solving high-dimensional problems with complicated constraints. However, most existing projection-free online methods focus on minimizing the static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yibo Wang , Wenhao Yang , Wei Jiang , Shiyin Lu , Bing Wang , Haihong Tang , Yuanyu Wan , Lijun Zhang

In this work, we study the relations between bounded dynamic regret and the classical notion of asymptotic stability for the case of a priori unknown and time-varying cost functions. In particular, we show that bounded dynamic regret…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Marko Nonhoff , Matthias A. Müller
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